MIA — Week 9 vs DET, who allow the 7th-most points to WRs — recently Christian Watson put up 5.7 on them (W7), Justin Jefferson put up 9.3 on them (W8).
13.6 PPR points against NE on 3/3 rec, 46 yd, 1 TD — beat his 2.0 projection by 11.6. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Kevin Coleman Jr. projects 2.7 PPR points in week 9 vs DET — the 7th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs DET: 298.7 passing yards a game allowed (7.29/attempt) · 2.6 TDs/gm through the air · 0.7 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 7th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how DET defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 10% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 6 games): 41.9% offensive snaps · 3.5 targets/game, 14% target share · 18.2% air-yard share (aDOT 13.6) · 1.3 catches for 13.7 yards/game, 2 TD. (2026) TD luck: 2 scored vs 1.4 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Kevin Coleman Jr. in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | vs DET | Sun, Nov 8 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 7th · soft |
| W10 | @ IND | Sun, Nov 15 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 23rd |
| W11 | @ BUF | Sun, Nov 22 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 3rd · soft |
| W12 | vs NYJ | Sun, Nov 29 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 21st |
| W13 | @ DEN | Sun, Dec 6 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 27th · tough |
| W14 | vs CHI | Sun, Dec 13 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 13th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | NE | 3/3 rec, 46 yd, 1 TD | 10.6 | 12.1 | 13.6 |
| W5 | CIN | 3/7 rec, 30 yd, 1 TD | 9.0 | 10.5 | 12.0 |
| W4 | MIN | 1/4 rec, 3 yd | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| W3 | KC | 1/4 rec, 3 yd | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 |