BUF — Week 9 at MIN, who allow the 30th-most points to WRs — recently Keenan Allen put up 3.1 on them (W7), Jameson Williams put up 13 on them (W8).
11.4 PPR points against BAL on 5/6 rec, 64 yd — right on his 9.3 projection (+2.1). The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Khalil Shakir projects 9.1 PPR points in week 9 at MIN — the 30th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 11.9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs MIN: 180.1 passing yards a game allowed (6.21/attempt) · 0.6 TDs/gm through the air · 1.1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 30th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how MIN defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 39.5 receiving yards · 24% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 63.9% offensive snaps · 5.4 targets/game, 19.4% target share · 12% air-yard share (aDOT 5.5) · 3.9 catches for 50.6 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 59.8% offensive snaps, 5.9 targets/game, 21.1% target share, 8.6% air-yard share (aDOT 3.7), 4.5 catches for 44.9 yards/game, 4 TD. (2026) TD luck: 1 scored vs 2.4 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.7 · median 6.2 · ceiling 14.3 — 25% chance of 10+, 9% of 15+, 2% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Khalil Shakir in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ MIN | Mon, Nov 9 | 5.8 | 7.5 | 9.1 | 30th · tough |
| W10 | @ NYJ | Sun, Nov 15 | 5.4 | 7.1 | 8.9 | 21st |
| W11 | vs MIA | Sun, Nov 22 | 6.2 | 8.1 | 10.0 | 29th · tough |
| W12 | vs KC | Thu, Nov 26 | 4.8 | 6.5 | 8.2 | 31st · tough |
| W13 | @ NE | Sun, Dec 6 | 4.9 | 6.7 | 8.5 | 11th |
| W14 | @ GB | Sun, Dec 13 | 5.4 | 7.2 | 8.9 | 15th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | BAL | 5/6 rec, 64 yd | 6.4 | 8.9 | 11.4 |
| W6 | LV | 4/6 rec, 34 yd, 1 TD | 9.4 | 11.4 | 13.4 |
| W5 | LAR | 3/3 rec, 80 yd | 8.0 | 9.5 | 11.0 |
| W4 | NE | 7/8 rec, 82 yd · 1 fum | 6.2 | 9.7 | 13.2 |
| W3 | LAC | 1/3 rec, 6 yd | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| W2 | DET | 3/6 rec, 38 yd | 3.8 | 5.3 | 6.8 |
| W1 | HOU | 4/6 rec, 50 yd | 5.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 |