LV — Week 9 at SF, who allow the 23rd-most points to QBs — recently Jayden Daniels put up 21 on them (W6), Michael Penix Jr. put up 20.4 on them (W7).
28.2 PPR points against NYJ on 19/26, 247 pass yd, 3 TD · 5 car, 3 yd, 1 TD — beat his 16.9 projection by 11.3. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Kirk Cousins projects 17.4 PPR points in week 9 at SF — the 23rd-ranked matchup for QBs, averaging 22.7 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at QB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs SF: 223.9 passing yards a game allowed (6.32/attempt) · 1.4 passing TDs/gm · 2.5 sacks and 0.5 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 23rd-most fantasy points allowed to QBs. Receipts and the full profile: how SF defends QBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 252.5 passing yards · 1.7 passing TDs · 1.5 rushing yards · 5% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 8 games): 97.9% offensive snaps · 35.4 attempts/game, 63.6% completions, 7.5 yards/attempt, 265.5 passing yards/game, 19 TD to 5 INT · 2.5 carries/game. 2025 baseline (10 games): 86.1% offensive snaps, 26.9 attempts/game, 61.7% completions, 6.4 yards/attempt, 172.1 passing yards/game, 10 TD to 5 INT, 1.4 carries/game. (2026) Passing-TD luck: 19 thrown vs 16.1 expected. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 5.8 · median 17.1 · ceiling 28.1 — 79% chance of 10+, 60% of 15+, 38% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Kirk Cousins in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ SF | Sun, Nov 8 | 17.4 | 17.4 | 17.4 | 23rd |
| W10 | vs SEA | Sun, Nov 15 | 15.9 | 15.9 | 15.9 | 31st · tough |
| W11 | @ DEN | Sun, Nov 22 | 15.7 | 15.7 | 15.7 | 19th |
| W12 | @ CLE | Sun, Nov 29 | 16.5 | 16.5 | 16.5 | 25th · tough |
| W14 | vs LAC | Sun, Dec 13 | 17.4 | 17.4 | 17.4 | 26th · tough |
| W15 | vs DEN | Sun, Dec 20 | 15.7 | 15.7 | 15.7 | 19th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | NYJ | 19/26, 247 pass yd, 3 TD · 5 car, 3 yd, 1 TD | 28.2 | 28.2 | 28.2 |
| W7 | LAR | 26/44, 295 pass yd, 2 TD · 3 car, 6 yd | 20.4 | 20.4 | 20.4 |
| W6 | BUF | 23/41, 313 pass yd, 2 TD, 1 INT | 19.5 | 19.5 | 19.5 |
| W5 | NE | 19/28, 243 pass yd, 1 TD | 13.7 | 13.7 | 13.7 |
| W4 | KC | 31/52, 365 pass yd, 2 TD, 1 INT | 23.6 | 23.6 | 23.6 |
| W3 | NO | 22/33, 248 pass yd, 3 TD · 3 car, 3 yd | 22.2 | 22.2 | 22.2 |
| W2 | LAC | 19/29, 253 pass yd, 3 TD, 1 INT · 4 car, 1 yd | 21.2 | 21.2 | 21.2 |
| W1 | MIA | 21/30, 160 pass yd, 3 TD, 2 INT · 5 car, -6 yd | 15.8 | 15.8 | 15.8 |