CHI · Questionable — Toe — Week 9 vs TB, who allow the 31st-most points to RBs — recently Anthony Tyus III put up 8.3 on them (W7), Bijan Robinson put up 7.6 on them (W8).
Kyle Monangai projects 7.0 PPR points in week 9 vs TB — the 31st-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 13 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs TB: 79.4 rushing yards a game allowed at 3.57 a carry · 0.4 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 31st-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how TB defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 51% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 4 games): 40.5% offensive snaps · 15 carries/game (37.7% of team carries) · 43.3% of the backfield's touches · 1.3 targets/game, 4.4% target share · 81 rushing and 9.8 receiving yards/game, 3 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 40.9% offensive snaps, 9.9 carries/game (33.5% of team carries), 41.5% of the backfield's touches, 1.8 targets/game, 5.7% target share, 46.1 rushing and 9.6 receiving yards/game, 5 TD. (2026) TD luck: 3 scored vs 3.5 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.2 · median 5.2 · ceiling 13.3 — 21% chance of 10+, 8% of 15+, 3% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Kyle Monangai in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | vs TB | Sun, Nov 8 | 6.1 | 6.5 | 7.0 | 31st · tough |
| W11 | vs NO | Sun, Nov 22 | 7.4 | 7.8 | 8.2 | 1st · soft |
| W12 | @ DET | Thu, Nov 26 | 7.6 | 8.0 | 8.4 | 29th · tough |
| W13 | vs JAX | Sun, Dec 6 | 6.3 | 6.7 | 7.1 | 32nd · tough |
| W14 | @ MIA | Sun, Dec 13 | 7.1 | 7.6 | 8.0 | 10th |
| W15 | @ BUF | Sat, Dec 19 | 6.8 | 7.2 | 7.6 | 6th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W4 | NYJ | 30 car, 146 yd, 2 TD · 1/1 rec, 4 yd | 27.0 | 27.5 | 28.0 |
| W3 | PHI | 10 car, 31 yd | 3.1 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| W2 | MIN | 10 car, 47 yd · 2/2 rec, 11 yd | 5.8 | 6.8 | 7.8 |
| W1 | CAR | 10 car, 100 yd, 1 TD · 2/2 rec, 24 yd | 18.4 | 19.4 | 20.4 |