NE — Week 8 at MIA, who allow the 30th-most points to WRs — recently Ja'Marr Chase put up 13.7 on them (W5), Omar Cooper Jr. put up 17.5 on them (W7).
Kyle Williams projects 5.2 PPR points in week 8 at MIA — the 30th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 8.2 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 8 angle vs MIA: 236.2 passing yards a game allowed (8.1/attempt) · 2.3 TDs/gm through the air · 0.7 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 30th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how MIA defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 8): 18 receiving yards · 20% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 29.9% offensive snaps · 1.7 targets/game, 5.9% target share · 9% air-yard share (aDOT 15.8) · 0.9 catches for 21 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (14 games): 30.8% offensive snaps, 1.5 targets/game, 5% target share, 9.3% air-yard share (aDOT 19), 0.7 catches for 14.9 yards/game, 3 TD. (2026) TD luck: 1 scored vs 0.9 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 8 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 0.5 · median 3.1 · ceiling 10.2 — 12% chance of 10+, 5% of 15+, 1% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Kyle Williams in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | @ MIA | Sun, Nov 1 | 3.7 | 4.5 | 5.2 | 30th · tough |
| W9 | vs GB | Sun, Nov 8 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 12th |
| W10 | @ DET | Sun, Nov 15 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 4th · soft |
| W12 | @ LAC | Sun, Nov 29 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 20th |
| W13 | vs BUF | Sun, Dec 6 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 1st · soft |
| W14 | vs MIN | Thu, Dec 10 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 29th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W6 | NYJ | 1/1 rec, 12 yd | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| W5 | LV | 3/3 rec, 91 yd, 1 TD | 15.1 | 16.6 | 18.1 |
| W3 | JAX | 1/3 rec, 34 yd | 3.4 | 3.9 | 4.4 |
| W2 | PIT | 1/2 rec, 10 yd | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 |