TEN — Week 1 vs NYJ, who allow the 5th-most points to TEs — recently Hunter Henry put up 10.9 on them (W17), Dawson Knox put up 8.4 on them (W18).
Kylen Granson projects 0.2 PPR points in week 1 vs NYJ — the 5th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 3.3 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs NYJ: 226.4 passing yards a game allowed (7.47/attempt) · 2.1 TDs/gm through the air · 0 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 5th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how NYJ defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 4% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 23.4% offensive snaps · 2.7% target share · 1.6% air-yard share (aDOT 7.6). TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.1 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Kylen Granson in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | vs NYJ | Sun, Sep 13 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 5th · soft |
| W2 | vs PHI | Sun, Sep 20 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 32nd · tough |
| W3 | @ NYG | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 25th · tough |
| W4 | @ BAL | Sun, Oct 4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 29th · tough |
| W5 | vs HOU | Sun, Oct 11 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 20th |
| W6 | @ IND | Sun, Oct 18 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 8th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W18 | WAS | 4/5 rec, 30 yd | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 |
| W11 | DET | 1/2 rec, 4 yd | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| W2 | KC | 1/1 rec, 5 yd | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| W1 | DAL | 1/1 rec, 1 yd | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 |