LAC — Week 9 vs HOU, who allow the 4th-most points to WRs — recently Jakobi Meyers put up 8.3 on them (W6), Malik Nabers put up 11.1 on them (W7).
12.6 PPR points against LAR on 4/6 rec, 86 yd — right on his 11.2 projection (+1.4). The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Ladd McConkey projects 13.0 PPR points in week 9 vs HOU — the 4th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 8.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs HOU: 262.7 passing yards a game allowed (7.48/attempt) · 1.4 TDs/gm through the air · 0.4 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 4th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how HOU defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 49.5 receiving yards · 24% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 6 games): 53.2% offensive snaps · 4 targets/game, 13.6% target share · 21.1% air-yard share (aDOT 12.4) · 2.8 catches for 47.7 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 77.5% offensive snaps, 6.6 targets/game, 21.1% target share, 26% air-yard share (aDOT 9.9), 4.1 catches for 49.3 yards/game, 6 TD. (2026) TD luck: 1 scored vs 1.4 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 3.2 · median 9 · ceiling 20.6 — 46% chance of 10+, 26% of 15+, 13% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Ladd McConkey in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | vs HOU | Sun, Nov 8 | 8.6 | 10.8 | 13.0 | 4th · soft |
| W10 | @ BAL | Mon, Nov 16 | 7.8 | 9.9 | 12.0 | 10th |
| W11 | vs NYJ | Sun, Nov 22 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 21st |
| W12 | vs NE | Sun, Nov 29 | 7.4 | 9.5 | 11.6 | 11th |
| W13 | @ TB | Sun, Dec 6 | 8.3 | 10.4 | 12.5 | 26th · tough |
| W14 | @ LV | Sun, Dec 13 | 8.3 | 10.3 | 12.3 | 8th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | LAR | 4/6 rec, 86 yd | 8.6 | 10.6 | 12.6 |
| W6 | KC | 1/1 rec, 17 yd | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.7 |
| W3 | BUF | 4/5 rec, 66 yd | 6.6 | 8.6 | 10.6 |
| W2 | LV | 3/3 rec, 35 yd | 3.5 | 5.0 | 6.5 |
| W1 | ARI | 5/7 rec, 82 yd, 1 TD | 14.2 | 16.7 | 19.2 |