Lamar Jackson QB

BAL · Out — Thumb — Week 14 vs TB, who allow the 29th-most points to QBs — recently Bryce Young put up 7.4 on them (W7), Michael Penix Jr. put up 2.1 on them (W8).

Should you start Lamar Jackson this week?

Lamar Jackson projects 21.6 PPR points in week 14 vs TB — the 29th-ranked matchup for QBs, averaging 18.4 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at QB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.

The week 9 angle vs TB: 220.1 passing yards a game allowed (6.52/attempt) · 1.3 passing TDs/gm · 2 sacks and 1.5 INTs/gm · a soft spot for rushing QBs — 10.6 QB rush yds/gm — all of it adding up to the 29th-most fantasy points allowed to QBs. Receipts and the full profile: how TB defends QBs, linked under The matchup below.

↓ Trending down
→ snaps/gm 55.8 → 55.8 (0%) · ↓ carries/gm 4.8 → 4 (-17%)
Week 4 vs TEN: 18.9 pts · 2 car · 33 snaps
Trend reads volume — snaps, targets and carries — not fantasy points, which swing on touchdowns.
Week 14 proj
21.6
PPR · 21.6 std
Matchup
29th
TB vs QBs
Form
18.4
PPR pts/gm, last 3 played

What Vegas expects (week 9): — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.

Usage & TD luck (2026 · 5 games): 70.8% offensive snaps · 19.4 attempts/game, 70.1% completions, 10 yards/attempt, 193.4 passing yards/game, 6 TD to 1 INT · 3.8 carries/game. 2025 baseline (13 games): 92.2% offensive snaps, 23.2 attempts/game, 63.6% completions, 8.4 yards/attempt, 196.1 passing yards/game, 21 TD to 7 INT, 5.2 carries/game. (2026) Passing-TD luck: 6 thrown vs 5.7 expected. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.

Compare Lamar Jackson in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer

Latest news

Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.

Common decisions

Lamar Jackson or Joe Milton?Lamar Jackson or Tanner McKee?Lamar Jackson or Shedeur Sanders?

Upcoming schedule & projections

WkOppStd½ PPRPPRMatchup
W14vs TB Sun, Dec 13 21.621.621.6 29th · tough
W15@ PIT Sun, Dec 20 21.621.621.6 30th · tough
W16vs CLE Sun, Dec 27 20.920.920.9 25th · tough
W17@ CIN Thu, Dec 31 22.522.522.5 14th
W18vs PIT Sat, Jan 9 21.621.621.6 30th · tough
Free. Add your scoring and who else you have — the answer gets specific. 3 questions a day without an account, 30 with one.

The matchup

How TB defends QBs →

Game log

WkOppStd½ PPRPPR
W4TEN15/20, 222 pass yd, 2 TD · 2 car, 20 yd 18.918.918.9
W3DAL15/20, 186 pass yd, 2 TD · 6 car, 50 yd 20.420.420.4
W2NO21/31, 235 pass yd, 1 TD, 1 INT · 4 car, 34 yd 15.815.815.8
W1IND17/25, 324 pass yd, 1 TD · 7 car, 40 yd, 1 TD · 1 fum 25.025.025.0
All numbers are the 2026 season, refreshed nightly. Matchup ranks read 1–32, where 1st allows the most points to the position — the matchup you want.