DEN — Week 8 vs KC, who allow the 31st-most points to WRs — recently Quentin Johnston put up 5.7 on them (W6), Jaxon Smith-Njigba put up 22.3 on them (W7).
1.5 PPR points against ARI on 1/1 rec, 5 yd. The week 8 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Lil'Jordan Humphrey projects 1.9 PPR points in week 8 vs KC — the 31st-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 1.7 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 8 angle vs KC: 229.5 passing yards a game allowed (6.5/attempt) · 0.8 TDs/gm through the air · 1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 31st-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how KC defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 8): 9% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 3 games): 20.3% offensive snaps · 1.3 targets/game, 5.5% target share · 4.9% air-yard share (aDOT 6.8) · 0.7 catches for 4.3 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (7 games): 48.4% offensive snaps, 3.6 targets/game, 11.1% target share, 15% air-yard share (aDOT 11.1), 1.9 catches for 22.3 yards/game, 1 TD. (2025) TD luck: 1 scored vs 2.3 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Lil'Jordan Humphrey in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | vs KC | Sun, Nov 1 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 31st · tough |
| W9 | @ CAR | Sun, Nov 8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 28th · tough |
| W11 | vs LV | Sun, Nov 22 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 11th |
| W12 | @ PIT | Fri, Nov 27 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 26th · tough |
| W13 | vs MIA | Sun, Dec 6 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 30th · tough |
| W14 | @ NYJ | Sun, Dec 13 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 18th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W7 | ARI | 1/1 rec, 5 yd | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| W5 | LAC | 1/2 rec, 8 yd | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.8 |