SF — Week 1 at LAR, who allow the 16th-most points to TEs — recently Kyle Pitts put up 1.6 on them (W17), Josiah Deguara put up 7.5 on them (W18).
Luke Farrell projects 0.6 PPR points in week 1 at LAR — the 16th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 4.2 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs LAR: 232.9 passing yards a game allowed (6.73/attempt) · 1.5 TDs/gm through the air · 1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 16th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how LAR defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 8% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 34.7% offensive snaps · 3.2% target share · 1.4% air-yard share (aDOT 2.9). TD luck: 2 scored vs 1 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Luke Farrell in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | @ LAR | Thu, Sep 10 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 16th |
| W2 | vs MIA | Sun, Sep 20 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 6th · soft |
| W3 | vs ARI | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 3rd · soft |
| W4 | vs DEN | Sun, Oct 4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 17th |
| W5 | @ SEA | Sun, Oct 11 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 12th |
| W6 | vs WAS | Mon, Oct 19 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 2nd · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W12 | CAR | 1/1 rec, 3 yd | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| W10 | LAR | 2/2 rec, 15 yd, 1 TD | 7.5 | 8.5 | 9.5 |
| W9 | NYG | 1/1 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| W7 | ATL | 1/1 rec, 11 yd | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| W5 | LAR | 1/2 rec, 8 yd | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| W2 | NO | 2/3 rec, 15 yd, 1 TD | 7.5 | 8.5 | 9.5 |
| W1 | SEA | 1/1 rec, 4 yd | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 |