CLE — Week 1 at JAX, who allow the 20th-most points to WRs — recently Josh Downs put up 3.4 on them (W17), Elic Ayomanor put up 5 on them (W18).
Malachi Corley projects 0.2 PPR points in week 1 at JAX — the 20th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 4.4 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs JAX: 231.4 passing yards a game allowed (6.19/attempt) · 1.5 TDs/gm through the air · 1.3 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 20th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how JAX defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 4% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 24.9% offensive snaps · 5% target share · -0.7% air-yard share (aDOT -0.5). TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.9 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Malachi Corley in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | @ JAX | Sun, Sep 13 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 20th |
| W2 | @ TB | Sun, Sep 20 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 16th |
| W3 | vs CAR | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 25th · tough |
| W4 | vs PIT | Thu, Oct 1 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 8th · soft |
| W5 | @ NYJ | Sun, Oct 11 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 15th |
| W6 | vs BAL | Sun, Oct 18 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 5th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W18 | CIN | 3 car, 18 yd · 2/2 rec, 20 yd | 3.8 | 4.8 | 5.8 |
| W17 | PIT | 1/1 rec, 4 yd | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| W16 | BUF | 3 car, 30 yd · 2/4 rec, 11 yd | 4.1 | 5.1 | 6.1 |
| W15 | CHI | 1/1 rec, 10 yd | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| W14 | TEN | 1 car, 2 yd | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| W13 | SF | 1 car, 9 yd | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| W12 | LV | 1 car, -6 yd · 1/1 rec, 8 yd | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| W11 | BAL | 2/2 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2.9 |
| W10 | NYJ | 2 car, 32 yd · 0/1 rec, 0 yd | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
| W8 | NE | 1 car, 31 yd | 3.1 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| W7 | MIA | 2/2 rec, 17 yd | 1.7 | 2.7 | 3.7 |
| W5 | MIN | 1 car, 11 yd | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |