NYG — Week 2 at LAR, who allow the 4th-most points to WRs — recently Deebo Samuel put up 12 on them (W1).
12.9 PPR points against DAL on 6/9 rec, 69 yd — right on his 13.9 projection (-1). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Malik Nabers projects 13.9 PPR points in week 2 at LAR — the 4th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 12.9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs LAR: 205 passing yards a game allowed (6.03/attempt) · 3 TDs/gm through the air · 1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 4th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how LAR defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 2): 69.5 receiving yards · 33% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 1 game): 52% offensive snaps · 9 targets/game, 31% target share · 42% air-yard share (aDOT 11.4) · 6 catches for 69 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (4 games): 79.5% offensive snaps, 8.8 targets/game, 27.1% target share, 43.9% air-yard share (aDOT 15.9), 4.5 catches for 67.8 yards/game, 2 TD. (2025) TD luck: 2 scored vs 2.5 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 3.6 · median 10.4 · ceiling 20.4 — 51% chance of 10+, 28% of 15+, 11% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Malik Nabers in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ LAR | Mon, Sep 21 | 8.7 | 11.3 | 13.9 | 4th · soft |
| W3 | vs TEN | Sun, Sep 27 | 10.0 | 12.7 | 15.4 | 17th |
| W4 | vs ARI | Sun, Oct 4 | 8.7 | 11.3 | 13.9 | 16th |
| W5 | @ WAS | Sun, Oct 11 | 10.5 | 13.2 | 16.0 | 15th |
| W6 | vs NO | Sun, Oct 18 | 8.8 | 11.4 | 14.1 | 11th |
| W7 | @ HOU | Sun, Oct 25 | 7.8 | 10.2 | 12.7 | 5th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | DAL | 6/9 rec, 69 yd | 6.9 | 9.9 | 12.9 |