NYG — Week 9 at PHI, who allow the 1st-most points to WRs — recently CeeDee Lamb put up 19.4 on them (W7), Stefon Diggs put up 9.8 on them (W8).
Malik Nabers projects 15.7 PPR points in week 9 at PHI — the 1st-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 25.2 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs PHI: 244 passing yards a game allowed (7.15/attempt) · 1.5 TDs/gm through the air · 0.4 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 1st-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how PHI defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 73.5 receiving yards · 32% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 75.6% offensive snaps · 10 targets/game, 29% target share · 32.9% air-yard share (aDOT 11.6) · 6.9 catches for 86.4 yards/game, 2 TD. 2025 baseline (4 games): 79.5% offensive snaps, 8.8 targets/game, 27.1% target share, 43.9% air-yard share (aDOT 15.9), 4.5 catches for 67.8 yards/game, 2 TD. (2026) TD luck: 2 scored vs 3.5 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 3.4 · median 11.4 · ceiling 24.4 — 56% chance of 10+, 37% of 15+, 20% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Malik Nabers in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ PHI | Sun, Nov 8 | 10.4 | 13.0 | 15.7 | 1st · soft |
| W10 | vs WAS | Thu, Nov 12 | 11.0 | 13.9 | 16.8 | 14th |
| W11 | vs JAX | Sun, Nov 22 | 9.3 | 12.2 | 15.2 | 9th |
| W12 | @ IND | Sun, Nov 29 | 9.7 | 12.6 | 15.4 | 23rd |
| W13 | vs SF | Sun, Dec 6 | 8.7 | 11.5 | 14.3 | 22nd |
| W14 | @ SEA | Sun, Dec 13 | 8.6 | 11.3 | 14.0 | 32nd · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W7 | HOU | 7/9 rec, 111 yd | 11.1 | 14.6 | 18.1 |
| W6 | NO | 12/15 rec, 165 yd | 16.5 | 22.5 | 28.5 |
| W5 | WAS | 11/20 rec, 121 yd, 1 TD | 18.1 | 23.6 | 29.1 |
| W4 | ARI | 6/7 rec, 112 yd, 1 TD | 17.2 | 20.2 | 23.2 |
| W3 | TEN | 5/6 rec, 26 yd | 2.6 | 5.1 | 7.6 |
| W2 | LAR | 1/4 rec, 1 yd | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| W1 | DAL | 6/9 rec, 69 yd | 6.9 | 9.9 | 12.9 |