BAL — Week 2 vs NO, who allow the 21st-most points to TEs — recently Sam LaPorta put up 4.8 on them (W1).
8.9 PPR points against IND on 4/6 rec, 49 yd — right on his 10.9 projection (-2). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Mark Andrews projects 10.5 PPR points in week 2 vs NO — the 21st-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 8.9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs NO: 206 passing yards a game allowed (5.28/attempt) · 2 TDs/gm through the air · 0 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 21st-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how NO defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 72% offensive snaps · 6.5 targets/game, 24.6% target share · 15.5% air-yard share (aDOT 7) · 5 catches for 49 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 61.7% offensive snaps, 4.1 targets/game, 17.1% target share, 16.3% air-yard share (aDOT 7.3), 2.8 catches for 24.8 yards/game, 6 TD. (2025) TD luck: 6 scored vs 7.1 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.8 · median 7.6 · ceiling 16.7 — 36% chance of 10+, 15% of 15+, 5% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Mark Andrews in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs NO | Sun, Sep 20 | 6.7 | 8.6 | 10.5 | 21st |
| W3 | @ DAL | Sun, Sep 27 | 7.3 | 9.3 | 11.3 | 1st · soft |
| W4 | vs TEN | Sun, Oct 4 | 7.2 | 9.1 | 11.0 | 15th |
| W5 | @ ATL | Sun, Oct 11 | 6.5 | 8.3 | 10.1 | 7th · soft |
| W6 | @ CLE | Sun, Oct 18 | 6.4 | 8.2 | 10.0 | 12th |
| W7 | vs CIN | Sun, Oct 25 | 7.1 | 9.0 | 10.8 | 28th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | IND | 4/6 rec, 49 yd | 4.9 | 6.9 | 8.9 |