GB — Week 2 at NYJ, who allow the 32nd-most points to RBs — recently Tony Pollard put up 3.4 on them (W1).
3.7 PPR points against MIN on 13 car, 37 yd · 0/1 rec, 0 yd — missed his 10.9 projection by 7.2. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
MarShawn Lloyd projects 11.8 PPR points in week 2 at NYJ — the 32nd-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 3.7 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs NYJ: 68 rushing yards a game allowed at 4.86 a carry · 0 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 32nd-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how NYJ defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 44% offensive snaps · 9.5 carries/game (48.7% of team carries) · 50% of the backfield's touches · 1.5 targets/game, 4.7% target share · 28.5 rushing and 3 receiving yards/game, 1 TD. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.9 · median 8.9 · ceiling 21.6 — 45% chance of 10+, 26% of 15+, 14% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare MarShawn Lloyd in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ NYJ | Sun, Sep 20 | 9.9 | 10.9 | 11.8 | 32nd · tough |
| W3 | vs ATL | Thu, Sep 24 | 9.7 | 10.6 | 11.4 | 29th · tough |
| W4 | @ TB | Sun, Oct 4 | 8.8 | 9.9 | 10.9 | 15th |
| W5 | vs CHI | Sun, Oct 11 | 9.7 | 10.7 | 11.7 | 7th · soft |
| W6 | vs DAL | Sun, Oct 18 | 10.2 | 11.3 | 12.3 | 9th |
| W7 | @ DET | Sun, Oct 25 | 8.7 | 9.7 | 10.7 | 17th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | MIN | 13 car, 37 yd · 0/1 rec, 0 yd | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.7 |