HOU — Week 9 at LAC, who allow the 18th-most points to WRs — recently Xavier Worthy put up 7.3 on them (W6), Puka Nacua put up 14 on them (W8).
Marvin Harrison Jr. projects 5.2 PPR points in week 9 at LAC — the 18th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 7.4 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs LAC: 207.7 passing yards a game allowed (7.42/attempt) · 1.1 TDs/gm through the air · 0.9 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 18th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how LAC defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 29.5 receiving yards · 23% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 6 games): 55.8% offensive snaps · 3.5 targets/game, 10% target share · 21.2% air-yard share (aDOT 15.9) · 1.5 catches for 20.8 yards/game, 2 TD. 2025 baseline (12 games): 71.3% offensive snaps, 6.1 targets/game, 18.1% target share, 33% air-yard share (aDOT 13), 3.4 catches for 50.7 yards/game, 4 TD. (2026) TD luck: 2 scored vs 1.8 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.6 · median 3.5 · ceiling 8.4 — 7% chance of 10+, 1% of 15+, 0% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Marvin Harrison Jr. in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ LAC | Sun, Nov 8 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 5.2 | 18th |
| W10 | @ CLE | Sun, Nov 15 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 20th |
| W11 | vs IND | Thu, Nov 19 | 3.5 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 23rd |
| W12 | vs BAL | Sun, Nov 29 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 5.0 | 10th |
| W13 | @ PIT | Sun, Dec 6 | 3.6 | 4.4 | 5.1 | 28th · tough |
| W14 | @ WAS | Sun, Dec 13 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 5.6 | 14th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W7 | NYG | 1/4 rec, 6 yd, 1 TD | 6.6 | 7.1 | 7.6 |
| W6 | JAX | 3/4 rec, 34 yd | 3.4 | 4.9 | 6.4 |
| W4 | NYG | 1/4 rec, 12 yd, 1 TD | 7.2 | 7.7 | 8.2 |
| W3 | SF | 3/5 rec, 40 yd | 4.0 | 5.5 | 7.0 |
| W1 | LAC | 1/3 rec, 33 yd | 3.3 | 3.8 | 4.3 |