NYJ — Week 9 at KC, who allow the 6th-most points to TEs — recently AJ Barner put up 4.6 on them (W7), Nate Adkins put up 6.4 on them (W8).
4.9 PPR points against LV on 3/5 rec, 19 yd — missed his 8.0 projection by 3.1. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Mason Taylor projects 7.5 PPR points in week 9 at KC — the 6th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 12.5 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs KC: 228.4 passing yards a game allowed (6.55/attempt) · 1 TDs/gm through the air · 0.9 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 6th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how KC defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 29.5 receiving yards · 18% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 5 games): 58.3% offensive snaps · 4.6 targets/game, 16.2% target share · 17.3% air-yard share (aDOT 8.5) · 3.4 catches for 27.2 yards/game, 2 TD. 2025 baseline (13 games): 81.1% offensive snaps, 5 targets/game, 17.2% target share, 13.8% air-yard share (aDOT 5.8), 3.4 catches for 28.4 yards/game, 1 TD. (2026) TD luck: 2 scored vs 1.4 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 0.8 · median 4.5 · ceiling 12.3 — 18% chance of 10+, 5% of 15+, 2% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Mason Taylor in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ KC | Sun, Nov 8 | 4.1 | 5.8 | 7.5 | 6th · soft |
| W10 | vs BUF | Sun, Nov 15 | 4.4 | 6.1 | 7.8 | 14th |
| W11 | @ LAC | Sun, Nov 22 | 4.4 | 6.3 | 8.1 | 26th · tough |
| W12 | @ MIA | Sun, Nov 29 | 5.1 | 7.1 | 9.1 | 3rd · soft |
| W14 | vs DEN | Sun, Dec 13 | 3.7 | 5.4 | 7.1 | 9th |
| W15 | @ ARI | Sun, Dec 20 | 5.1 | 6.9 | 8.7 | 8th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | LV | 3/5 rec, 19 yd | 1.9 | 3.4 | 4.9 |
| W7 | MIA | 5/6 rec, 62 yd, 2 TD | 20.2 | 22.7 | 25.2 |
| W6 | NE | 4/6 rec, 33 yd | 3.3 | 5.3 | 7.3 |
| W5 | CLE | 3/3 rec, 24 yd | 2.4 | 3.9 | 5.4 |
| W1 | TEN | 2/3 rec, -2 yd | -0.2 | 0.8 | 1.8 |