LAR — Week 9 at WAS, who allow the 4th-most points to QBs — recently Brock Purdy put up 17.4 on them (W6), Tanner McKee put up 8 on them (W8).
9.3 PPR points against LAC on 17/25, 157 pass yd, 1 TD, 1 INT — missed his 16.5 projection by 7.2. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Matthew Stafford projects 18.5 PPR points in week 9 at WAS — the 4th-ranked matchup for QBs, averaging 14.9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at QB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs WAS: 260 passing yards a game allowed (7.19/attempt) · 2.1 passing TDs/gm · 2.3 sacks and 0.6 INTs/gm · a soft spot for rushing QBs — 23 QB rush yds/gm — all of it adding up to the 4th-most fantasy points allowed to QBs. Receipts and the full profile: how WAS defends QBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 256.5 passing yards · 1.93 passing TDs · 0.5 rushing yards · 6% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 8 games): 98% offensive snaps · 37.9 attempts/game, 67.3% completions, 7.1 yards/attempt, 268.3 passing yards/game, 15 TD to 8 INT · 1.8 carries/game. 2025 baseline (17 games): 98.5% offensive snaps, 35.1 attempts/game, 65% completions, 7.9 yards/attempt, 276.9 passing yards/game, 46 TD to 8 INT, 1.7 carries/game. (2026) Passing-TD luck: 15 thrown vs 13.9 expected. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 9.3 · median 18.3 · ceiling 27.2 — 89% chance of 10+, 69% of 15+, 42% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Matthew Stafford in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ WAS | Sun, Nov 8 | 18.5 | 18.5 | 18.5 | 4th · soft |
| W10 | @ ARI | Sun, Nov 15 | 19.7 | 19.7 | 19.7 | 2nd · soft |
| W12 | vs GB | Wed, Nov 25 | 16.2 | 16.2 | 16.2 | 27th · tough |
| W13 | vs KC | Thu, Dec 3 | 14.5 | 14.5 | 14.5 | 28th · tough |
| W14 | @ SF | Sun, Dec 13 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 23rd |
| W15 | vs DAL | Sun, Dec 20 | 17.9 | 17.9 | 17.9 | 6th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | LAC | 17/25, 157 pass yd, 1 TD, 1 INT | 9.3 | 9.3 | 9.3 |
| W7 | LV | 23/29, 195 pass yd, 3 TD, 1 INT · 3 car, -3 yd | 18.5 | 18.5 | 18.5 |
| W6 | ARI | 25/33, 222 pass yd, 2 TD | 16.9 | 16.9 | 16.9 |
| W5 | BUF | 40/54, 383 pass yd, 3 TD | 27.3 | 27.3 | 27.3 |
| W4 | PHI | 32/51, 317 pass yd, 2 INT · 3 car, 10 yd | 11.7 | 11.7 | 11.7 |
| W3 | DEN | 30/55, 390 pass yd, 2 TD, 2 INT · 2 car, 13 yd | 22.9 | 22.9 | 22.9 |
| W2 | NYG | 22/31, 327 pass yd, 4 TD, 1 INT · 4 car, -1 yd | 28.0 | 28.0 | 28.0 |
| W1 | SF | 15/25, 155 pass yd, 1 INT · 2 car, -1 yd | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.1 |