LAR — Week 2 vs NYG, who allow the 19th-most points to QBs — recently Dak Prescott put up 15.4 on them (W1).
5.1 PPR points against SF on 15/25, 155 pass yd, 1 INT · 2 car, -1 yd — missed his 17.0 projection by 11.9. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Matthew Stafford projects 16.9 PPR points in week 2 vs NYG — the 19th-ranked matchup for QBs, averaging 5.1 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at QB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs NYG: 175 passing yards a game allowed (5.15/attempt) · 2 passing TDs/gm · 0 sacks and 1 INTs/gm · a soft spot for rushing QBs — 14 QB rush yds/gm — all of it adding up to the 19th-most fantasy points allowed to QBs. Receipts and the full profile: how NYG defends QBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 2): 245 passing yards · 1.68 passing TDs · 0.5 rushing yards · 5% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 1 game): 84% offensive snaps · 25 attempts/game, 60% completions, 6.2 yards/attempt, 155 passing yards/game, 0 TD to 1 INT · 2 carries/game. 2025 baseline (17 games): 98.5% offensive snaps, 35.1 attempts/game, 65% completions, 7.9 yards/attempt, 276.9 passing yards/game, 46 TD to 8 INT, 1.7 carries/game. (2025) Passing-TD luck: 46 thrown vs 52.4 expected. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 8 · median 16.8 · ceiling 24.5 — 86% chance of 10+, 65% of 15+, 31% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Matthew Stafford in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs NYG | Mon, Sep 21 | 16.9 | 16.9 | 16.9 | 19th |
| W3 | @ DEN | Sun, Sep 27 | 16.1 | 16.1 | 16.1 | 9th |
| W4 | @ PHI | Sun, Oct 4 | 15.6 | 15.6 | 15.6 | 14th |
| W5 | vs BUF | Mon, Oct 12 | 16.4 | 16.4 | 16.4 | 15th |
| W6 | vs ARI | Sun, Oct 18 | 17.2 | 17.2 | 17.2 | 22nd |
| W7 | @ LV | Sun, Oct 25 | 16.9 | 16.9 | 16.9 | 13th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | SF | 15/25, 155 pass yd, 1 INT · 2 car, -1 yd | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.1 |