LV — Week 2 at LAC, who allow the 5th-most points to TEs — recently Trey McBride put up 15.5 on them (W1).
9.2 PPR points against MIA on 6/7 rec, 32 yd — beat his 4.0 projection by 5.2. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Michael Mayer projects 8.3 PPR points in week 2 at LAC — the 5th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 9.2 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs LAC: 277 passing yards a game allowed (7.49/attempt) · 1 TDs/gm through the air · 0 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 5th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how LAC defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 81% offensive snaps · 5.5 targets/game, 19% target share · 9.4% air-yard share (aDOT 4.2) · 4.5 catches for 27.5 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (13 games): 61.8% offensive snaps, 3.8 targets/game, 13.7% target share, 13.1% air-yard share (aDOT 4.8), 2.7 catches for 25.2 yards/game, 1 TD. (2025) TD luck: 1 scored vs 1.4 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.5 · median 5 · ceiling 12.9 — 19% chance of 10+, 7% of 15+, 2% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Michael Mayer in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ LAC | Sun, Sep 20 | 4.4 | 6.4 | 8.3 | 5th · soft |
| W3 | @ NO | Sun, Sep 27 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 21st |
| W4 | vs KC | Sun, Oct 4 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 3.9 | 10th |
| W5 | @ NE | Sun, Oct 11 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 30th · tough |
| W6 | vs BUF | Sun, Oct 18 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 3.7 | 19th |
| W7 | vs LAR | Sun, Oct 25 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 4.1 | 26th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | MIA | 6/7 rec, 32 yd | 3.2 | 6.2 | 9.2 |