ARI — Week 2 vs SEA, who allow the 30th-most points to WRs — recently Mack Hollins put up 5.1 on them (W1).
10.6 PPR points against LAC on 5/7 rec, 56 yd — right on his 11.3 projection (-0.7). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Michael Wilson projects 9.9 PPR points in week 2 vs SEA — the 30th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 10.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs SEA: 178 passing yards a game allowed (5.39/attempt) · 1 TDs/gm through the air · 3 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 30th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how SEA defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 85% offensive snaps · 7 targets/game, 22.9% target share · 37.6% air-yard share (aDOT 9.5) · 3.5 catches for 37 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 81.4% offensive snaps, 7.4 targets/game, 19.2% target share, 31.2% air-yard share (aDOT 11.9), 4.6 catches for 59.2 yards/game, 7 TD. (2025) TD luck: 7 scored vs 6.3 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.1 · median 6.9 · ceiling 15.6 — 33% chance of 10+, 12% of 15+, 3% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Michael Wilson in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs SEA | Sun, Sep 20 | 6.3 | 8.1 | 9.9 | 30th · tough |
| W3 | @ SF | Sun, Sep 27 | 7.4 | 9.5 | 11.5 | 28th · tough |
| W4 | @ NYG | Sun, Oct 4 | 6.9 | 8.8 | 10.7 | 18th |
| W5 | vs DET | Sun, Oct 11 | 7.3 | 9.2 | 11.2 | 3rd · soft |
| W6 | @ LAR | Sun, Oct 18 | 7.3 | 9.2 | 11.2 | 4th · soft |
| W7 | vs DEN | Sun, Oct 25 | 5.9 | 7.7 | 9.5 | 29th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | LAC | 5/7 rec, 56 yd | 5.6 | 8.1 | 10.6 |