CIN — Week 2 at HOU, who allow the 27th-most points to WRs — recently Quentin Johnston put up 9.8 on them (W17), Alec Pierce put up 25.2 on them (W18).
Mitch Tinsley projects 1.0 PPR points in week 2 at HOU — the 27th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 5.9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs HOU: 204.1 passing yards a game allowed (6.46/attempt) · 1.2 TDs/gm through the air · 1.1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 27th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how HOU defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 24.6% offensive snaps · 8.3% target share · 13.8% air-yard share (aDOT 14.8). TD luck: 2 scored vs 2.1 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Mitch Tinsley in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ HOU | Sun, Sep 20 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 27th · tough |
| W3 | @ PIT | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 8th · soft |
| W4 | vs JAX | Sun, Oct 4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 20th |
| W5 | @ MIA | Sun, Oct 11 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 17th |
| W7 | @ BAL | Sun, Oct 25 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 5th · soft |
| W8 | vs TEN | Sun, Nov 1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W15 | BAL | 1/2 rec, 16 yd | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| W13 | BAL | 2/9 rec, 22 yd | 2.2 | 3.2 | 4.2 |
| W12 | NE | 2/6 rec, 29 yd, 1 TD | 8.9 | 9.9 | 10.9 |
| W9 | CHI | 1/2 rec, 27 yd | 2.7 | 3.2 | 3.7 |
| W4 | DEN | 1/2 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| W2 | JAX | 1/1 rec, 13 yd, 1 TD | 7.3 | 7.8 | 8.3 |