CAR — Week 1 vs CHI, who allow the 18th-most points to TEs — recently Jake Tonges put up 12 on them (W17), Anthony Firkser put up 0.2 on them (W18).
Mitchell Evans projects 1.0 PPR points in week 1 vs CHI — the 18th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 2.8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs CHI: 239.2 passing yards a game allowed (7.63/attempt) · 1.9 TDs/gm through the air · 1.4 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 18th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how CHI defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 9% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 37.4% offensive snaps · 6.4% target share · 3.4% air-yard share (aDOT 3.6). TD luck: 2 scored vs 2.1 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Mitchell Evans in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | vs CHI | Sun, Sep 13 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 18th |
| W2 | @ ATL | Sun, Sep 20 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 27th · tough |
| W3 | @ CLE | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 23rd |
| W4 | vs DET | Sun, Oct 4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 15th |
| W6 | @ PHI | Sun, Oct 18 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 32nd · tough |
| W7 | vs TB | Sun, Oct 25 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 7th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W18 | TB | 1/2 rec, 5 yd | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| W17 | SEA | 1 car, 1 yd · 1/2 rec, 5 yd | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| W16 | TB | 3/3 rec, 23 yd | 2.3 | 3.8 | 5.3 |
| W13 | LAR | 3/3 rec, 20 yd | 2.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 |
| W11 | ATL | 2/2 rec, 28 yd | 2.8 | 3.8 | 4.8 |
| W7 | NYJ | 2/3 rec, 24 yd | 2.4 | 3.4 | 4.4 |
| W6 | DAL | 1/1 rec, 21 yd | 2.1 | 2.6 | 3.1 |
| W5 | MIA | 1/1 rec, 4 yd, 1 TD | 6.4 | 6.9 | 7.4 |
| W4 | NE | 3/4 rec, 23 yd, 1 TD | 8.3 | 9.8 | 11.3 |
| W3 | ATL | 1/1 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| W2 | ARI | 1/1 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.9 |