IND — Week 1 vs BAL, who allow the 29th-most points to TEs — recently Josh Whyle put up 0.8 on them (W17), Pat Freiermuth put up 5.1 on them (W18).
Mo Alie-Cox projects 1.2 PPR points in week 1 vs BAL — the 29th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 6.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs BAL: 259 passing yards a game allowed (7.04/attempt) · 1.4 TDs/gm through the air · 0.7 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 29th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how BAL defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 39.1% offensive snaps · 5.6% target share · 3.4% air-yard share (aDOT 4.7). TD luck: 1 scored vs 1.5 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Mo Alie-Cox in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | vs BAL | Sun, Sep 13 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 29th · tough |
| W2 | @ KC | Sun, Sep 20 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 28th · tough |
| W3 | vs HOU | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 20th |
| W4 | @ WAS | Sun, Oct 4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2nd · soft |
| W5 | @ PIT | Sun, Oct 11 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4th · soft |
| W6 | vs TEN | Sun, Oct 18 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 11th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W18 | HOU | 3/4 rec, 22 yd | 2.2 | 3.7 | 5.2 |
| W17 | JAX | 3/3 rec, 20 yd, 1 TD | 8.0 | 9.5 | 11.0 |
| W16 | SF | 2/2 rec, 16 yd | 1.6 | 2.6 | 3.6 |
| W12 | KC | 1/1 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| W7 | LAC | 1/2 rec, 6 yd | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| W6 | ARI | 1/2 rec, 16 yd | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| W2 | DEN | 1/1 rec, 8 yd | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| W1 | MIA | 1/1 rec, 20 yd | 2.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 |