DEN — Week 1 at KC, who allow the 28th-most points to TEs — recently Adam Trautman put up 2.4 on them (W17), Michael Mayer put up 4.7 on them (W18).
Nate Adkins projects 0.3 PPR points in week 1 at KC — the 28th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 5.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs KC: 205.1 passing yards a game allowed (6.85/attempt) · 1.1 TDs/gm through the air · 0.6 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 28th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how KC defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 4% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 32.8% offensive snaps · 4.9% target share · 2.6% air-yard share (aDOT 3.2). TD luck: 1 scored vs 0.7 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Nate Adkins in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | @ KC | Mon, Sep 14 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 28th · tough |
| W2 | vs JAX | Sun, Sep 20 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 10th |
| W3 | vs LAR | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 16th |
| W4 | @ SF | Sun, Oct 4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 9th |
| W5 | @ LAC | Sun, Oct 11 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 26th · tough |
| W6 | vs SEA | Thu, Oct 15 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 12th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W7 | NYG | 2/3 rec, 20 yd | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 |
| W6 | NYJ | 2/2 rec, 23 yd, 1 TD | 8.3 | 9.3 | 10.3 |
| W4 | CIN | 2/3 rec, 5 yd | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 |