NO — Week 9 vs CLE, who allow the 11th-most points to TEs — recently Gunnar Helm put up 2.4 on them (W7), Pat Freiermuth put up 9.6 on them (W8).
Noah Fant projects 5.6 PPR points in week 9 vs CLE — the 11th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs CLE: 214.6 passing yards a game allowed (6.55/attempt) · 1.4 TDs/gm through the air · 0.8 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 11th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how CLE defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 9.5 receiving yards · 14% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 6 games): 52.2% offensive snaps · 2.7 targets/game, 6.4% target share · 3.1% air-yard share (aDOT 4.3) · 1.8 catches for 14 yards/game, 3 TD. 2025 baseline (13 games): 37.9% offensive snaps, 3.2 targets/game, 9.2% target share, 3.7% air-yard share (aDOT 3.3), 2.6 catches for 22.2 yards/game, 3 TD. (2026) TD luck: 3 scored vs 1.1 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 0.9 · median 3.4 · ceiling 10.4 — 11% chance of 10+, 4% of 15+, 1% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Noah Fant in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | vs CLE | Sun, Nov 8 | 3.5 | 4.6 | 5.6 | 11th |
| W10 | vs CAR | Sun, Nov 15 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 13th |
| W11 | @ CHI | Sun, Nov 22 | 3.9 | 5.0 | 6.1 | 21st |
| W12 | @ CIN | Sun, Nov 29 | 3.9 | 5.0 | 6.1 | 10th |
| W13 | vs GB | Sun, Dec 6 | 3.7 | 4.8 | 5.9 | 31st · tough |
| W14 | @ CAR | Sun, Dec 13 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 13th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W7 | PIT | 2/2 rec, 11 yd | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3.1 |
| W5 | MIN | 1/1 rec, 7 yd | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| W3 | LV | 4/4 rec, 33 yd, 2 TD | 15.3 | 17.3 | 19.3 |
| W1 | DET | 4/8 rec, 33 yd, 1 TD | 9.3 | 11.3 | 13.3 |