Noah Gray TE

KC — Week 2 vs IND, who allow the 18th-most points to TEs — recently Mark Andrews put up 4.9 on them (W1).

Week 1 recap: Noah Gray

1.5 PPR points against DEN on 1/1 rec, 5 yd — right on his 4.3 projection (-2.8). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.

Should you start Noah Gray this week?

Noah Gray projects 4.2 PPR points in week 2 vs IND — the 18th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 1.5 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.

The week 2 angle vs IND: 324 passing yards a game allowed (12.96/attempt) · 1 TDs/gm through the air · 0 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 18th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how IND defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.

Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 55% offensive snaps · 1 targets/game, 3.2% target share · 4% air-yard share (aDOT 8) · 0.5 catches for 2.5 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (14 games): 52.1% offensive snaps, 2.6 targets/game, 8.2% target share, 6% air-yard share (aDOT 6.5), 1.5 catches for 12.7 yards/game, 0 TD. (2025) TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.9 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.

Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.1 · median 2.8 · ceiling 6.6 — 2% chance of 10+, 0% of 15+, 0% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.

Compare Noah Gray in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer

Common decisions

Upcoming schedule & projections

The matchup

Game log