Ollie Gordon II RB

MIA — Week 9 vs DET, who allow the 29th-most points to RBs — recently Josh Jacobs put up 15.1 on them (W7), Aaron Jones Sr. put up 4 on them (W8).

Week 8 recap: Ollie Gordon II

6.9 PPR points against NE on 19 car, 69 yd · 0/1 rec, 0 yd — missed his 13.0 projection by 6.1. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.

Should you start Ollie Gordon II this week?

Ollie Gordon II projects 13.0 PPR points in week 9 vs DET — the 29th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 13 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.

The week 9 angle vs DET: 96.6 rushing yards a game allowed at 4.15 a carry · 0.9 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 29th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how DET defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.

What Vegas expects (week 9): 74.5 rushing yards · 7.5 receiving yards · 39% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.

Usage & TD luck (2026 · 6 games): 56.6% offensive snaps · 15.2 carries/game (51.7% of team carries) · 64.1% of the backfield's touches · 1.5 targets/game, 6.3% target share · 68 rushing and 2.3 receiving yards/game, 4 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 22.4% offensive snaps, 4.1 carries/game (16.2% of team carries), 16% of the backfield's touches, 0.5 targets/game, 1.8% target share, 11.7 rushing and 1.9 receiving yards/game, 4 TD. (2026) TD luck: 4 scored vs 5.3 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.

Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 0.8 · median 9.6 · ceiling 26.6 — 50% chance of 10+, 34% of 15+, 21% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.

Compare Ollie Gordon II in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer

Common decisions

Upcoming schedule & projections

The matchup

Game log