LAC — Week 9 vs HOU, who allow the 28th-most points to TEs — recently Nate Boerkircher put up 6.8 on them (W6), Thomas Fidone II put up 2.9 on them (W7).
10.2 PPR points against LAR on 5/5 rec, 52 yd — beat his 4.5 projection by 5.7. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Oronde Gadsden projects 4.7 PPR points in week 9 vs HOU — the 28th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 7.9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs HOU: 262.7 passing yards a game allowed (7.48/attempt) · 1.4 TDs/gm through the air · 0.4 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 28th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how HOU defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 17.5 receiving yards · 16% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 47% offensive snaps · 3.7 targets/game, 12.2% target share · 13.3% air-yard share (aDOT 7.1) · 2.4 catches for 22.1 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (15 games): 62.6% offensive snaps, 4.6 targets/game, 14.4% target share, 16.7% air-yard share (aDOT 9), 3.3 catches for 44.3 yards/game, 3 TD. (2026) TD luck: 1 scored vs 1.2 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 0.9 · median 2.8 · ceiling 8.3 — 7% chance of 10+, 1% of 15+, 0% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Oronde Gadsden in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | vs HOU | Sun, Nov 8 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 4.7 | 28th · tough |
| W10 | @ BAL | Mon, Nov 16 | 2.8 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 15th |
| W11 | vs NYJ | Sun, Nov 22 | 2.9 | 3.8 | 4.7 | 18th |
| W12 | vs NE | Sun, Nov 29 | 2.7 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 24th |
| W13 | @ TB | Sun, Dec 6 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 4.9 | 12th |
| W14 | @ LV | Sun, Dec 13 | 3.0 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 4th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | LAR | 5/5 rec, 52 yd | 5.2 | 7.7 | 10.2 |
| W6 | KC | 3/5 rec, 17 yd | 1.7 | 3.2 | 4.7 |
| W4 | SEA | 1 car, 2 yd · 5/8 rec, 36 yd | 3.8 | 6.3 | 8.8 |
| W2 | LV | 2/2 rec, 18 yd, 1 TD | 7.8 | 8.8 | 9.8 |
| W1 | ARI | 2/2 rec, 32 yd | 3.2 | 4.2 | 5.2 |