JAX — Week 9 at BAL, who allow the 10th-most points to WRs — recently Tee Higgins put up 20.8 on them (W7), DJ Moore put up 12.6 on them (W8).
3.6 PPR points against IND on 1 car, 10 yd · 1/2 rec, 16 yd — missed his 15.0 projection by 11.4. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Parker Washington projects 14.1 PPR points in week 9 at BAL — the 10th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 14.8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs BAL: 241.9 passing yards a game allowed (7.41/attempt) · 1.4 TDs/gm through the air · 0.5 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 10th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how BAL defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 67.5 receiving yards · 39% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 75% offensive snaps · 6.9 targets/game, 23.6% target share · 33.8% air-yard share (aDOT 12.9) · 3.9 catches for 61.7 yards/game, 4 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 61.4% offensive snaps, 5.9 targets/game, 18% target share, 24.2% air-yard share (aDOT 12.5), 3.6 catches for 52.9 yards/game, 5 TD. (2026) TD luck: 4 scored vs 3.4 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 4.3 · median 10.7 · ceiling 21.2 — 53% chance of 10+, 30% of 15+, 14% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Parker Washington in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ BAL | Thu, Nov 5 | 9.9 | 12.0 | 14.1 | 10th |
| W10 | @ TEN | Sun, Nov 15 | 11.8 | 14.4 | 17.0 | 2nd · soft |
| W11 | @ NYG | Sun, Nov 22 | 11.5 | 13.9 | 16.3 | 17th |
| W12 | vs TEN | Sun, Nov 29 | 11.8 | 14.4 | 17.0 | 2nd · soft |
| W13 | @ CHI | Sun, Dec 6 | 12.1 | 14.4 | 16.8 | 13th |
| W14 | vs PIT | Mon, Dec 14 | 11.8 | 14.1 | 16.4 | 28th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | IND | 1 car, 10 yd · 1/2 rec, 16 yd | 2.6 | 3.1 | 3.6 |
| W6 | HOU | 4/11 rec, 64 yd | 6.4 | 8.4 | 10.4 |
| W5 | PHI | 6/9 rec, 124 yd, 2 TD | 24.4 | 27.4 | 30.4 |
| W4 | CIN | 1 car, 3 yd · 1/3 rec, 7 yd | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| W3 | NE | 3/5 rec, 40 yd, 1 TD | 10.0 | 11.5 | 13.0 |
| W2 | DEN | 7/12 rec, 98 yd | 9.8 | 13.3 | 16.8 |
| W1 | CLE | 5/6 rec, 83 yd, 1 TD | 14.3 | 16.8 | 19.3 |