DEN · IR — Ankle — Week 9 at CAR, who allow the 25th-most points to WRs — recently Tez Johnson put up 10.7 on them (W7), Matthew Golden put up 13.9 on them (W8).
Pat Bryant projects 6.8 PPR points in week 9 at CAR — the 25th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 7.9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs CAR: 219.6 passing yards a game allowed (6.4/attempt) · 1.4 TDs/gm through the air · 0.6 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 25th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how CAR defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 4 games): 57.8% offensive snaps · 3 targets/game, 10% target share · 14% air-yard share (aDOT 6.7) · 2.3 catches for 33.3 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (13 games): 47.7% offensive snaps, 3.8 targets/game, 11% target share, 16.2% air-yard share (aDOT 8.4), 2.4 catches for 29.1 yards/game, 1 TD. (2026) TD luck: 1 scored vs 0.5 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.9 · median 4.6 · ceiling 10.8 — 12% chance of 10+, 3% of 15+, 1% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Pat Bryant in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ CAR | Sun, Nov 8 | 4.3 | 5.6 | 6.8 | 25th · tough |
| W11 | vs LV | Sun, Nov 22 | 6.0 | 7.6 | 9.2 | 8th · soft |
| W12 | @ PIT | Fri, Nov 27 | 6.0 | 7.6 | 9.2 | 28th · tough |
| W13 | vs MIA | Sun, Dec 6 | 6.5 | 8.3 | 10.1 | 29th · tough |
| W14 | @ NYJ | Sun, Dec 13 | 5.8 | 7.4 | 9.0 | 21st |
| W15 | @ LV | Sun, Dec 20 | 6.0 | 7.6 | 9.2 | 8th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W4 | SF | 3/3 rec, 47 yd | 4.7 | 6.2 | 7.7 |
| W3 | LAR | 2/2 rec, 44 yd, 1 TD | 12.4 | 13.4 | 14.4 |
| W2 | JAX | 1 car, 16 yd · 0/1 rec, 0 yd | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| W1 | KC | 4/6 rec, 42 yd | 4.2 | 6.2 | 8.2 |