Pat Bryant WR

DEN — Week 2 vs JAX, who allow the 14th-most points to WRs — recently Denzel Boston put up 11.9 on them (W1).

Week 1 recap: Pat Bryant

8.2 PPR points against KC on 4/6 rec, 42 yd — right on his 7.3 projection (+0.9). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.

Should you start Pat Bryant this week?

Pat Bryant projects 7.8 PPR points in week 2 vs JAX — the 14th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 8.2 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.

The week 2 angle vs JAX: 205 passing yards a game allowed (9.32/attempt) · 1 TDs/gm through the air · 1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 14th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how JAX defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.

· No usage trend on file
Week 1 vs KC: 8.2 pts · 6 tgt · 30 snaps
Trend reads volume — snaps, targets and carries — not fantasy points, which swing on touchdowns.
Week 2 proj
7.8
PPR · 4.7 std
Matchup
14th
JAX vs WRs
Trade value
105
#169 overall · +105/30d
Form
8.2
PPR pts/gm, last 3 played

Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 59% offensive snaps · 3.5 targets/game, 12.8% target share · 14.5% air-yard share (aDOT 4.3) · 2 catches for 21 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (13 games): 47.7% offensive snaps, 3.8 targets/game, 11% target share, 16.2% air-yard share (aDOT 8.4), 2.4 catches for 29.1 yards/game, 1 TD. (2025) TD luck: 1 scored vs 2.2 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.

Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.2 · median 5.2 · ceiling 11.5 — 16% chance of 10+, 5% of 15+, 1% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.

Compare Pat Bryant in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer

Common decisions

Upcoming schedule & projections

WkOppStd½ PPRPPRMatchup
W2vs JAX Sun, Sep 20 4.76.27.8 14th
W3vs LAR Sun, Sep 27 5.26.88.4 4th · soft
W4@ SF Sun, Oct 4 5.37.08.6 28th · tough
W5@ LAC Sun, Oct 11 4.66.17.5 19th
W6vs SEA Thu, Oct 15 4.45.87.3 30th · tough
W7@ ARI Sun, Oct 25 5.26.88.4 16th

The matchup

Game log

WkOppStd½ PPRPPR
W1KC4/6 rec, 42 yd 4.26.28.2
All numbers are the 2026 season, refreshed nightly. Matchup ranks read 1–32, where 1st allows the most points to the position — the matchup you want.