PIT — Week 10 at CIN, who allow the 10th-most points to TEs — recently Josh Cuevas put up 3.5 on them (W7), Gunnar Helm put up 9.6 on them (W8).
11.6 PPR points against CLE on 1 car, 1 yd, 1 TD · 2/2 rec, 35 yd — right on his 9.2 projection (+2.4). The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Pat Freiermuth projects 9.9 PPR points in week 10 at CIN — the 10th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 6.2 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs CIN: 261 passing yards a game allowed (7.58/attempt) · 1.1 TDs/gm through the air · 0.6 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 10th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how CIN defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 8 games): 65% offensive snaps · 4.4 targets/game, 13.3% target share · 17.4% air-yard share (aDOT 8.5) · 3.1 catches for 29.4 yards/game, 5 TD. 2025 baseline (15 games): 50.4% offensive snaps, 3.6 targets/game, 11.3% target share, 12.6% air-yard share (aDOT 6), 2.7 catches for 32.4 yards/game, 4 TD. (2026) TD luck: 5 scored vs 3.1 expected — over expectation, regression risk. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Pat Freiermuth in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | @ CIN | Sun, Nov 15 | 6.1 | 8.0 | 9.9 | 10th |
| W11 | @ PHI | Sun, Nov 22 | 5.4 | 7.3 | 9.1 | 29th · tough |
| W12 | vs DEN | Fri, Nov 27 | 5.1 | 6.9 | 8.7 | 9th |
| W13 | vs HOU | Sun, Dec 6 | 5.9 | 7.7 | 9.6 | 28th · tough |
| W14 | @ JAX | Mon, Dec 14 | 5.7 | 7.6 | 9.5 | 23rd |
| W15 | vs BAL | Sun, Dec 20 | 5.7 | 7.6 | 9.5 | 15th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | CLE | 1 car, 1 yd, 1 TD · 2/2 rec, 35 yd | 9.6 | 10.6 | 11.6 |
| W7 | NO | 2/4 rec, 20 yd | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 |
| W6 | TB | 2/3 rec, 11 yd | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3.1 |
| W5 | IND | 1 car, 1 yd · 5/7 rec, 44 yd, 2 TD | 16.5 | 19.0 | 21.5 |
| W4 | CLE | 3/5 rec, 17 yd, 1 TD | 7.7 | 9.2 | 10.7 |
| W3 | CIN | 1 car, 1 yd · 2/4 rec, 30 yd | 3.1 | 4.1 | 5.1 |
| W2 | NE | 1 car, 2 yd · 4/5 rec, 32 yd | 3.4 | 5.4 | 7.4 |
| W1 | ATL | 5/5 rec, 46 yd, 1 TD | 10.6 | 13.1 | 15.6 |