LAR — Week 9 at WAS, who allow the 14th-most points to WRs — recently Mike Evans put up 9.4 on them (W6), Makai Lemon put up 5.7 on them (W8).
25.0 PPR points against LAC on 11/12 rec, 80 yd, 1 TD — beat his 22.0 projection by 3. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Puka Nacua projects 23.1 PPR points in week 9 at WAS — the 14th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 20.3 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs WAS: 260 passing yards a game allowed (7.19/attempt) · 2.1 TDs/gm through the air · 0.6 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 14th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how WAS defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 0.5 rushing yards · 95.5 receiving yards · 52% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 6 games): 86% offensive snaps · 12.3 targets/game, 34.4% target share · 36.4% air-yard share (aDOT 7.7) · 9.3 catches for 94.2 yards/game, 4 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 68.3% offensive snaps, 10.4 targets/game, 30.1% target share, 31.9% air-yard share (aDOT 9.4), 8.1 catches for 107.2 yards/game, 11 TD. (2026) TD luck: 4 scored vs 4 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 9.6 · median 18.8 · ceiling 30.6 — 89% chance of 10+, 66% of 15+, 40% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Puka Nacua in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ WAS | Sun, Nov 8 | 15.1 | 19.1 | 23.1 | 14th |
| W10 | @ ARI | Sun, Nov 15 | 16.0 | 19.8 | 23.6 | 6th · soft |
| W12 | vs GB | Wed, Nov 25 | 14.0 | 17.6 | 21.3 | 15th |
| W13 | vs KC | Thu, Dec 3 | 12.8 | 16.3 | 19.9 | 31st · tough |
| W14 | @ SF | Sun, Dec 13 | 13.0 | 16.6 | 20.2 | 22nd |
| W15 | vs DAL | Sun, Dec 20 | 15.1 | 19.0 | 22.9 | 5th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | LAC | 11/12 rec, 80 yd, 1 TD | 14.0 | 19.5 | 25.0 |
| W7 | LV | 2 car, 10 yd · 8/10 rec, 68 yd, 1 TD | 13.8 | 17.8 | 21.8 |
| W6 | ARI | 6/7 rec, 80 yd | 8.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 |
| W5 | BUF | 2 car, 9 yd · 17/24 rec, 138 yd, 1 TD | 20.7 | 29.2 | 37.7 |
| W4 | PHI | 1 car, 2 yd, 1 TD · 9/12 rec, 125 yd | 18.7 | 23.2 | 27.7 |
| W1 | SF | 5/9 rec, 74 yd | 7.4 | 9.9 | 12.4 |