LAR · Questionable — Hip — Week 2 vs NYG, who allow the 18th-most points to WRs — recently CeeDee Lamb put up 10.4 on them (W1).
12.4 PPR points against SF on 5/9 rec, 74 yd — missed his 20.5 projection by 8.1. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Puka Nacua projects 20.1 PPR points in week 2 vs NYG — the 18th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 12.4 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs NYG: 175 passing yards a game allowed (5.15/attempt) · 2 TDs/gm through the air · 1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 18th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how NYG defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 2): 0.5 rushing yards · 79.5 receiving yards · 48% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 1 game): 70% offensive snaps · 9 targets/game, 33.3% target share · 45.1% air-yard share (aDOT 12.8) · 5 catches for 74 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 68.3% offensive snaps, 10.4 targets/game, 30.1% target share, 31.9% air-yard share (aDOT 9.4), 8.1 catches for 107.2 yards/game, 11 TD. (2025) TD luck: 11 scored vs 10.8 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 7.4 · median 16.2 · ceiling 27.1 — 81% chance of 10+, 53% of 15+, 34% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Puka Nacua in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs NYG | Mon, Sep 21 | 13.0 | 16.6 | 20.1 | 18th |
| W3 | @ DEN | Sun, Sep 27 | 11.3 | 14.7 | 18.0 | 29th · tough |
| W4 | @ PHI | Sun, Oct 4 | 11.8 | 15.2 | 18.5 | 9th |
| W5 | vs BUF | Mon, Oct 12 | 12.6 | 16.1 | 19.6 | 8th · soft |
| W6 | vs ARI | Sun, Oct 18 | 13.5 | 17.2 | 20.9 | 16th |
| W7 | @ LV | Sun, Oct 25 | 12.9 | 16.7 | 20.5 | 20th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | SF | 5/9 rec, 74 yd | 7.4 | 9.9 | 12.4 |