LAC — Week 9 vs HOU, who allow the 4th-most points to WRs — recently Jakobi Meyers put up 8.3 on them (W6), Malik Nabers put up 11.1 on them (W7).
7.7 PPR points against LAR on 4/4 rec, 37 yd — right on his 6.9 projection (+0.8). The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Quentin Johnston projects 7.5 PPR points in week 9 vs HOU — the 4th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 6.5 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs HOU: 262.7 passing yards a game allowed (7.48/attempt) · 1.4 TDs/gm through the air · 0.4 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 4th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how HOU defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 31.5 receiving yards · 19% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 6 games): 80.8% offensive snaps · 4.3 targets/game, 14.6% target share · 24.3% air-yard share (aDOT 13) · 2 catches for 33.7 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (13 games): 76.9% offensive snaps, 6.5 targets/game, 20% target share, 28% air-yard share (aDOT 11.8), 3.9 catches for 56.5 yards/game, 8 TD. (2026) TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.5 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.8 · median 5 · ceiling 12.4 — 18% chance of 10+, 6% of 15+, 1% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Quentin Johnston in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | vs HOU | Sun, Nov 8 | 5.0 | 6.2 | 7.5 | 4th · soft |
| W10 | @ BAL | Mon, Nov 16 | 4.4 | 5.5 | 6.6 | 10th |
| W11 | vs NYJ | Sun, Nov 22 | 4.5 | 5.6 | 6.7 | 21st |
| W12 | vs NE | Sun, Nov 29 | 4.2 | 5.3 | 6.4 | 11th |
| W13 | @ TB | Sun, Dec 6 | 4.8 | 5.9 | 7.0 | 26th · tough |
| W14 | @ LV | Sun, Dec 13 | 4.7 | 5.8 | 6.9 | 8th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | LAR | 4/4 rec, 37 yd | 3.7 | 5.7 | 7.7 |
| W6 | KC | 1/3 rec, 57 yd | 5.7 | 6.2 | 6.7 |
| W4 | SEA | 1 car, -4 yd · 1/2 rec, 44 yd | 4.0 | 4.5 | 5.0 |
| W3 | BUF | 3/6 rec, 40 yd | 4.0 | 5.5 | 7.0 |
| W2 | LV | 1 car, 7 yd · 1/5 rec, 7 yd | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| W1 | ARI | 2/6 rec, 17 yd | 1.7 | 2.7 | 3.7 |