LAC — Week 2 vs LV, who allow the 20th-most points to WRs — recently Caleb Douglas put up 9.4 on them (W1).
3.7 PPR points against ARI on 2/6 rec, 17 yd — missed his 11.1 projection by 7.4. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Quentin Johnston projects 9.8 PPR points in week 2 vs LV — the 20th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 3.7 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs LV: 220 passing yards a game allowed (8.15/attempt) · 0 TDs/gm through the air · 1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 20th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how LV defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 78% offensive snaps · 5.5 targets/game, 20.7% target share · 19% air-yard share (aDOT 9.4) · 1.5 catches for 12 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (13 games): 76.9% offensive snaps, 6.5 targets/game, 20% target share, 28% air-yard share (aDOT 11.8), 3.9 catches for 56.5 yards/game, 8 TD. (2025) TD luck: 8 scored vs 5.6 expected — over expectation, regression risk. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 3.2 · median 7.3 · ceiling 14.3 — 32% chance of 10+, 8% of 15+, 2% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Quentin Johnston in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs LV | Sun, Sep 20 | 6.6 | 8.2 | 9.8 | 20th |
| W3 | @ BUF | Sun, Sep 27 | 6.4 | 8.0 | 9.5 | 8th · soft |
| W4 | @ SEA | Sun, Oct 4 | 6.0 | 7.5 | 9.0 | 30th · tough |
| W5 | vs DEN | Sun, Oct 11 | 5.7 | 7.2 | 8.6 | 29th · tough |
| W6 | @ KC | Sun, Oct 18 | 6.7 | 8.3 | 9.9 | 31st · tough |
| W8 | @ LAR | Sun, Nov 1 | 6.9 | 8.5 | 10.1 | 4th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | ARI | 2/6 rec, 17 yd | 1.7 | 2.7 | 3.7 |