CLE — Week 9 at NO, who allow the 1st-most points to RBs — recently Tyrone Tracy Jr. put up 16.5 on them (W6), Jaylen Warren put up 13.7 on them (W7).
6.9 PPR points against PIT on 11 car, 25 yd · 2/2 rec, 24 yd — missed his 10.7 projection by 3.8. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Quinshon Judkins projects 12.3 PPR points in week 9 at NO — the 1st-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 12.8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs NO: 139.4 rushing yards a game allowed at 4.81 a carry · 1.6 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 1st-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how NO defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 69.5 rushing yards · 12.5 receiving yards · 45% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 56.3% offensive snaps · 14.4 carries/game (59.4% of team carries) · 73.8% of the backfield's touches · 3.3 targets/game, 10.6% target share · 48.9 rushing and 19.1 receiving yards/game, 3 TD. 2025 baseline (14 games): 50.5% offensive snaps, 16.4 carries/game (66.1% of team carries), 67.3% of the backfield's touches, 2.6 targets/game, 8.3% target share, 59.1 rushing and 12.2 receiving yards/game, 7 TD. (2026) TD luck: 3 scored vs 3.7 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 5.3 · median 9.9 · ceiling 18.7 — 50% chance of 10+, 22% of 15+, 9% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Quinshon Judkins in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ NO | Sun, Nov 8 | 10.0 | 11.2 | 12.3 | 1st · soft |
| W10 | vs HOU | Sun, Nov 15 | 7.7 | 8.7 | 9.7 | 14th |
| W12 | vs LV | Sun, Nov 29 | 9.0 | 9.9 | 10.8 | 4th · soft |
| W13 | vs CIN | Sun, Dec 6 | 9.7 | 10.6 | 11.5 | 21st |
| W14 | vs ATL | Sun, Dec 13 | 7.6 | 8.5 | 9.4 | 7th · soft |
| W15 | @ NYG | Sun, Dec 20 | 9.2 | 10.1 | 11.0 | 19th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | PIT | 11 car, 25 yd · 2/2 rec, 24 yd | 4.9 | 5.9 | 6.9 |
| W7 | TEN | 17 car, 96 yd, 2 TD · 1/1 rec, 8 yd | 22.4 | 22.9 | 23.4 |
| W5 | NYJ | 14 car, 44 yd · 3/4 rec, 6 yd | 5.0 | 6.5 | 8.0 |
| W4 | PIT | 17 car, 53 yd, 1 TD · 6/7 rec, 43 yd | 15.6 | 18.6 | 21.6 |
| W3 | CAR | 18 car, 70 yd · 2/2 rec, 9 yd | 7.9 | 8.9 | 9.9 |
| W2 | TB | 12 car, 21 yd · 5/5 rec, 27 yd | 4.8 | 7.3 | 9.8 |
| W1 | JAX | 12 car, 33 yd · 2/2 rec, 17 yd | 5.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 |