CLE — Week 2 at TB, who allow the 15th-most points to RBs — recently Chase Brown put up 13.8 on them (W1).
7.0 PPR points against JAX on 12 car, 33 yd · 2/2 rec, 17 yd — missed his 12.2 projection by 5.2. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Quinshon Judkins projects 12.4 PPR points in week 2 at TB — the 15th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 7 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs TB: 106 rushing yards a game allowed at 3.93 a carry · 1 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 15th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how TB defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 65% offensive snaps · 12 carries/game (53.3% of team carries) · 77.5% of the backfield's touches · 3.5 targets/game, 12.9% target share · 27 rushing and 22 receiving yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (14 games): 50.5% offensive snaps, 16.4 carries/game (66.1% of team carries), 67.3% of the backfield's touches, 2.6 targets/game, 8.3% target share, 59.1 rushing and 12.2 receiving yards/game, 7 TD. (2025) TD luck: 7 scored vs 6.3 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 4.4 · median 10.2 · ceiling 21.6 — 50% chance of 10+, 22% of 15+, 11% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Quinshon Judkins in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ TB | Sun, Sep 20 | 10.6 | 11.5 | 12.4 | 15th |
| W3 | vs CAR | Sun, Sep 27 | 11.2 | 12.1 | 13.1 | 1st · soft |
| W4 | vs PIT | Thu, Oct 1 | 9.1 | 10.0 | 10.9 | 8th · soft |
| W5 | @ NYJ | Sun, Oct 11 | 11.6 | 12.6 | 13.5 | 32nd · tough |
| W6 | vs BAL | Sun, Oct 18 | 9.4 | 10.3 | 11.3 | 10th |
| W7 | @ TEN | Sun, Oct 25 | 11.9 | 12.9 | 13.9 | 12th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | JAX | 12 car, 33 yd · 2/2 rec, 17 yd | 5.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 |