JAX — Week 1 vs CLE, who allow the 23rd-most points to TEs — recently Pat Freiermuth put up 6.3 on them (W17), Drew Sample put up 1.7 on them (W18).
Quintin Morris projects 0.5 PPR points in week 1 vs CLE — the 23rd-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 4.3 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs CLE: 189.4 passing yards a game allowed (6.61/attempt) · 1.5 TDs/gm through the air · 0.7 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 23rd-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how CLE defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 9% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 23.3% offensive snaps · 3.2% target share · 1.8% air-yard share (aDOT 5). TD luck: 1 scored vs 0.9 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Quintin Morris in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | vs CLE | Sun, Sep 13 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 23rd |
| W2 | @ DEN | Sun, Sep 20 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 17th |
| W3 | vs NE | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 13th |
| W4 | @ CIN | Sun, Oct 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1st · soft |
| W5 | vs PHI | Sun, Oct 11 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 32nd · tough |
| W6 | vs HOU | Sun, Oct 18 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 20th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W18 | TEN | 1/1 rec, 5 yd, 1 TD | 6.5 | 7.0 | 7.5 |
| W16 | DEN | 1/1 rec, 5 yd | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| W15 | NYJ | 2/2 rec, 20 yd | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 |
| W13 | TEN | 1/2 rec, 14 yd | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| W11 | LAC | 1/3 rec, 11 yd | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.1 |