CLE — Week 1 at JAX, who allow the 31st-most points to RBs — recently Jonathan Taylor put up 14.4 on them (W17), Tony Pollard put up 6.5 on them (W18).
Raheim Sanders projects 0.1 PPR points in week 1 at JAX — the 31st-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 4.7 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs JAX: 85.6 rushing yards a game allowed at 3.94 a carry · 0.8 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 31st-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how JAX defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 9% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 25.8% offensive snaps · 6.8 carries/game · 4.3% target share. TD luck: 1 scored vs 2.4 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Raheim Sanders in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | @ JAX | Sun, Sep 13 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 31st · tough |
| W2 | @ TB | Sun, Sep 20 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 16th |
| W3 | vs CAR | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 9th |
| W4 | vs PIT | Thu, Oct 1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 28th · tough |
| W5 | @ NYJ | Sun, Oct 11 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1st · soft |
| W6 | vs BAL | Sun, Oct 18 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 14th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W18 | CIN | 5 car, 26 yd · 1/1 rec, 7 yd | 3.3 | 3.8 | 4.3 |
| W17 | PIT | 8 car, 21 yd · 1/2 rec, 10 yd | 3.1 | 3.6 | 4.1 |
| W16 | BUF | 11 car, 42 yd · 1/1 rec, 4 yd | 4.6 | 5.1 | 5.6 |
| W1 | CIN | 3 car, 3 yd, 1 TD | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.3 |