BAL — Week 1 at IND, who allow the 22nd-most points to RBs — recently Travis Etienne put up 9.2 on them (W17), British Brooks put up 6.3 on them (W18).
Rasheen Ali projects 0.3 PPR points in week 1 at IND — the 22nd-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 5.4 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs IND: 101.9 rushing yards a game allowed at 3.87 a carry · 0.9 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 22nd-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how IND defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 10% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 13% offensive snaps · 0.5 carries/game · 3.7% target share. TD luck: 1 scored vs 0.2 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Rasheen Ali in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | @ IND | Sun, Sep 13 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 22nd |
| W2 | vs NO | Sun, Sep 20 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 18th |
| W3 | @ DAL | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 8th · soft |
| W4 | vs TEN | Sun, Oct 4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 12th |
| W5 | @ ATL | Sun, Oct 11 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 17th |
| W6 | @ CLE | Sun, Oct 18 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 11th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W17 | GB | 2/3 rec, 8 yd | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| W16 | NE | 2/2 rec, 2 yd | 0.2 | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| W15 | CIN | 2/2 rec, 32 yd, 1 TD | 9.2 | 10.2 | 11.2 |
| W14 | PIT | 1 car, 2 yd · 2/3 rec, 11 yd | 1.3 | 2.3 | 3.3 |
| W13 | CIN | 4 car, 17 yd | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| W11 | CLE | 1/1 rec, 15 yd | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 |
| W1 | BUF | 1 car, 5 yd | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |