BAL — Week 8 at BUF, who allow the 3rd-most points to RBs — recently Kyren Williams put up 13.6 on them (W5), Ashton Jeanty put up 11.8 on them (W6).
1.9 PPR points against CIN on 4 car, 19 yd. The week 8 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Rasheen Ali projects 0.3 PPR points in week 8 at BUF — the 3rd-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 1.9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 8 angle vs BUF: 101 rushing yards a game allowed at 3.84 a carry · 1 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 3rd-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how BUF defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 8): 9% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 6 games): 0.9% offensive snaps · 0.7 carries/game (2.2% of team carries) · 2.3% of the backfield's touches · 3.2 rushing and 0 receiving yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (15 games): 13% offensive snaps, 0.5 carries/game (1.6% of team carries), 4.4% of the backfield's touches, 0.7 targets/game, 3.7% target share, 1.6 rushing and 4.5 receiving yards/game, 1 TD. (2026) TD luck: 0 scored vs 0 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Rasheen Ali in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | @ BUF | Sun, Nov 1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 3rd · soft |
| W9 | vs JAX | Thu, Nov 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 32nd · tough |
| W10 | vs LAC | Mon, Nov 16 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 8th · soft |
| W11 | @ CAR | Sun, Nov 22 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2nd · soft |
| W12 | @ HOU | Sun, Nov 29 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 16th |
| W14 | vs TB | Sun, Dec 13 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 31st · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W7 | CIN | 4 car, 19 yd | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 |