SEA · Questionable — Knee — Week 9 vs ARI, who allow the 6th-most points to WRs — recently Marvin Mims Jr. put up 5.6 on them (W7), Ryan Flournoy put up 10.1 on them (W8).
Rashid Shaheed projects 5.4 PPR points in week 9 vs ARI — the 6th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 6.1 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs ARI: 237.6 passing yards a game allowed (8.27/attempt) · 2.3 TDs/gm through the air · 0.4 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 6th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how ARI defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 21% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 50.3% offensive snaps · 4.3 targets/game, 14.4% target share · 19.8% air-yard share (aDOT 11.1) · 2.3 catches for 23.3 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (18 games): 60.9% offensive snaps, 5.1 targets/game, 16.2% target share, 22.4% air-yard share (aDOT 11.4), 3.3 catches for 38.2 yards/game, 2 TD. (2026) TD luck: 1 scored vs 1.4 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.3 · median 3.5 · ceiling 9.4 — 10% chance of 10+, 3% of 15+, 0% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Rashid Shaheed in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
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| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | vs ARI | Sun, Nov 8 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 5.4 | 6th · soft |
| W10 | @ LV | Sun, Nov 15 | 4.4 | 5.4 | 6.5 | 8th · soft |
| W12 | @ SF | Sun, Nov 29 | 3.9 | 4.9 | 5.9 | 22nd |
| W13 | vs DAL | Mon, Dec 7 | 4.7 | 5.8 | 6.9 | 5th · soft |
| W14 | vs NYG | Sun, Dec 13 | 4.3 | 5.3 | 6.3 | 17th |
| W15 | @ PHI | Sat, Dec 19 | 3.9 | 4.9 | 5.9 | 1st · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W7 | KC | 2/3 rec, 1 yd | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| W6 | DEN | 1 car, 2 yd · 5/8 rec, 66 yd · 1 fum | 6.8 | 9.3 | 11.8 |
| W5 | SF | 2/4 rec, 23 yd | 2.3 | 3.3 | 4.3 |
| W4 | LAC | 2 car, 33 yd, 1 TD · 1/3 rec, 20 yd | 11.3 | 11.8 | 12.3 |
| W3 | WAS | 2/3 rec, 14 yd | 1.4 | 2.4 | 3.4 |
| W2 | ARI | 1 car, 4 yd · 3/6 rec, 35 yd | 3.9 | 5.4 | 6.9 |
| W1 | NE | 1/3 rec, 4 yd | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 |