BAL — Week 2 vs NO, who allow the 11th-most points to WRs — recently Amon-Ra St. Brown put up 18.7 on them (W1).
Rashod Bateman projects 9.1 PPR points in week 2 vs NO — the 11th-ranked matchup for WRs. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs NO: 206 passing yards a game allowed (5.28/attempt) · 2 TDs/gm through the air · 0 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 11th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how NO defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 78% offensive snaps · 5 targets/game, 17.6% target share · 23.7% air-yard share (aDOT 14.8) · 3.5 catches for 44 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (13 games): 69.3% offensive snaps, 2.9 targets/game, 11.9% target share, 17.5% air-yard share (aDOT 12.3), 1.5 catches for 17.2 yards/game, 2 TD. (2025) TD luck: 2 scored vs 2.4 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1 · median 5.9 · ceiling 16.3 — 26% chance of 10+, 14% of 15+, 7% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Rashod Bateman in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs NO | Sun, Sep 20 | 6.2 | 7.6 | 9.1 | 11th |
| W3 | @ DAL | Sun, Sep 27 | 5.5 | 6.7 | 7.9 | 26th · tough |
| W4 | vs TEN | Sun, Oct 4 | 5.4 | 6.6 | 7.7 | 17th |
| W5 | @ ATL | Sun, Oct 11 | 4.9 | 5.9 | 7.0 | 25th · tough |
| W6 | @ CLE | Sun, Oct 18 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 6.0 | 2nd · soft |
| W7 | vs CIN | Sun, Oct 25 | 4.6 | 5.6 | 6.6 | 21st |