BUF — Week 9 at MIN, who allow the 22nd-most points to RBs — recently Jonathan Taylor put up 17 on them (W7), Jahmyr Gibbs put up 22.8 on them (W8).
3.0 PPR points against BAL on 6 car, 30 yd — right on his 0.9 projection (+2.1). The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Ray Davis projects 0.9 PPR points in week 9 at MIN — the 22nd-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 3.1 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs MIN: 116.7 rushing yards a game allowed at 4.54 a carry · 0.6 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 22nd-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how MIN defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 8% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 6 games): 12.6% offensive snaps · 1.8 carries/game (6% of team carries) · 8.6% of the backfield's touches · 0.5 targets/game, 2% target share · 7 rushing and 6.7 receiving yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 14.3% offensive snaps, 3.4 carries/game (10.6% of team carries), 14% of the backfield's touches, 0.8 targets/game, 2.8% target share, 16.2 rushing and 5.1 receiving yards/game, 2 TD. (2026) TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.1 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Ray Davis in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ MIN | Mon, Nov 9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 22nd |
| W10 | @ NYJ | Sun, Nov 15 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 12th |
| W11 | vs MIA | Sun, Nov 22 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10th |
| W12 | vs KC | Thu, Nov 26 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 24th |
| W13 | @ NE | Sun, Dec 6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 25th · tough |
| W14 | @ GB | Sun, Dec 13 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 8th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | BAL | 6 car, 30 yd | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| W6 | LV | 1 car, 4 yd · 1/1 rec, 5 yd | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| W5 | LAR | 2 car, 2 yd · 1/1 rec, 31 yd | 3.3 | 3.8 | 4.3 |
| W4 | NE | 1 car, 3 yd · 1/1 rec, 4 yd | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| W1 | HOU | 1 car, 3 yd | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |