NE · Questionable — Knee — Week 3 at JAX, who allow the 19th-most points to RBs — recently Quinshon Judkins put up 5 on them (W1), Jonah Coleman put up 11.8 on them (W2).
1.4 PPR points against PIT on 1/2 rec, 4 yd. The week 3 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Reggie Gilliam projects 0.3 PPR points in week 3 at JAX — the 19th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 1.4 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 3 angle vs JAX: 95.5 rushing yards a game allowed at 3.82 a carry · 0.5 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 19th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how JAX defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 3): 4% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 1 game): 27% offensive snaps · 0 carries/game (0% of team carries) · 7.1% of the backfield's touches · 2 targets/game, 9.5% target share · 0 rushing and 4 receiving yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (11 games): 21.2% offensive snaps, 0.2 carries/game (0.5% of team carries), 1.1% of the backfield's touches, 0.2 targets/game, 0.6% target share, 0.4 rushing and 2.2 receiving yards/game, 0 TD. (2025) TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.7 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Reggie Gilliam in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W3 | @ JAX | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 19th |
| W4 | @ BUF | Sun, Oct 4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 5th · soft |
| W5 | vs LV | Sun, Oct 11 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 18th |
| W6 | vs NYJ | Sun, Oct 18 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 30th · tough |
| W7 | @ CHI | Thu, Oct 22 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 9th |
| W8 | @ MIA | Sun, Nov 1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 3rd · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | PIT | 1/2 rec, 4 yd | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 |