NE — Week 2 vs PIT, who allow the 8th-most points to RBs — recently Bijan Robinson put up 23.3 on them (W1).
14.5 PPR points against SEA on 18 car, 51 yd · 5/6 rec, 44 yd — right on his 16.7 projection (-2.2). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Rhamondre Stevenson projects 12.3 PPR points in week 2 vs PIT — the 8th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 14.5 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs PIT: 120 rushing yards a game allowed at 3.87 a carry · 0 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 8th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how PIT defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 85% offensive snaps · 12 carries/game (40.7% of team carries) · 53.3% of the backfield's touches · 4 targets/game, 14.4% target share · 47 rushing and 23.5 receiving yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (14 games): 59.4% offensive snaps, 9.3 carries/game (31.9% of team carries), 44.5% of the backfield's touches, 2.6 targets/game, 9.8% target share, 43.1 rushing and 24.6 receiving yards/game, 9 TD. (2025) TD luck: 9 scored vs 8.9 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.3 · median 8.8 · ceiling 22.4 — 45% chance of 10+, 26% of 15+, 16% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Rhamondre Stevenson in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs PIT | Sun, Sep 20 | 9.5 | 10.9 | 12.3 | 8th · soft |
| W3 | @ JAX | Sun, Sep 27 | 9.6 | 11.0 | 12.3 | 27th · tough |
| W4 | @ BUF | Sun, Oct 4 | 12.0 | 13.4 | 14.7 | 6th · soft |
| W5 | vs LV | Sun, Oct 11 | 9.7 | 11.2 | 12.6 | 31st · tough |
| W6 | vs NYJ | Sun, Oct 18 | 11.6 | 13.0 | 14.4 | 32nd · tough |
| W7 | @ CHI | Thu, Oct 22 | 11.6 | 13.1 | 14.5 | 7th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | SEA | 18 car, 51 yd · 5/6 rec, 44 yd | 9.5 | 12.0 | 14.5 |