PIT — Week 1 vs ATL, who allow the 9th-most points to WRs — recently Puka Nacua put up 10.7 on them (W17), Ronnie Bell put up 8.3 on them (W18).
Roman Wilson projects 2.0 PPR points in week 1 vs ATL — the 9th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 4.5 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs ATL: 221.9 passing yards a game allowed (7.15/attempt) · 1.6 TDs/gm through the air · 1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 9th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how ATL defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 14% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 33.1% offensive snaps · 7.7% target share · 15.5% air-yard share (aDOT 13.2). TD luck: 2 scored vs 0.8 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Roman Wilson in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | vs ATL | Sun, Sep 13 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 9th |
| W2 | @ NE | Sun, Sep 20 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 18th |
| W3 | vs CIN | Sun, Sep 27 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 26th · tough |
| W4 | @ CLE | Thu, Oct 1 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 22nd |
| W5 | vs IND | Sun, Oct 11 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 7th · soft |
| W6 | @ TB | Sun, Oct 18 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 16th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W11 | CIN | 1/2 rec, 17 yd | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.7 |
| W10 | LAC | 2/3 rec, 35 yd, 1 TD | 9.5 | 10.5 | 11.5 |
| W9 | IND | 1/2 rec, 4 yd · 1 fum | -1.6 | -1.1 | -0.6 |
| W8 | GB | 4/5 rec, 74 yd, 1 TD | 13.4 | 15.4 | 17.4 |
| W7 | CIN | 2/2 rec, 17 yd | 1.7 | 2.7 | 3.7 |
| W6 | CLE | 1/1 rec, 12 yd | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| W2 | SEA | 1/2 rec, 7 yd | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.7 |