CHI — Week 6 at ATL, who allow the 26th-most points to RBs — recently Alvin Kamara put up 17.8 on them (W4), Derrick Henry put up 20 on them (W5).
9.0 PPR points against GB on 5 car, 6 yd · 5/7 rec, 34 yd. The week 6 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Roschon Johnson projects 4.3 PPR points in week 6 at ATL — the 26th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 6.2 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 6 angle vs ATL: 80.2 rushing yards a game allowed at 3.78 a carry · 0.6 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 26th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how ATL defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 6): 22% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 3 games): 10.2% offensive snaps · 3 carries/game (7.7% of team carries) · 15.5% of the backfield's touches · 2.7 targets/game, 6.9% target share · 7.3 rushing and 13.7 receiving yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (6 games): 0.9% offensive snaps, 0.3 carries/game (1.1% of team carries), 1.2% of the backfield's touches, 2.8 rushing and 0 receiving yards/game, 0 TD. (2025) TD luck: 0 scored vs 0 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 6 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 0.5 · median 3 · ceiling 9.2 — 8% chance of 10+, 2% of 15+, 1% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Roschon Johnson in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W6 | @ ATL | Sun, Oct 18 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 26th · tough |
| W7 | vs NE | Thu, Oct 22 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 15th |
| W8 | @ SEA | Mon, Nov 2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 19th |
| W9 | vs TB | Sun, Nov 8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 30th · tough |
| W11 | vs NO | Sun, Nov 22 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1st · soft |
| W12 | @ DET | Thu, Nov 26 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 23rd |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W5 | GB | 5 car, 6 yd · 5/7 rec, 34 yd | 4.0 | 6.5 | 9.0 |
| W4 | NYJ | 4 car, 16 yd · 1/1 rec, 7 yd | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3.3 |