DET — Week 9 at MIA, who allow the 3rd-most points to TEs — recently Mason Taylor put up 20.2 on them (W7), Hunter Henry put up 3 on them (W8).
6.5 PPR points against MIN on 1 car, 2 yd · 3/5 rec, 33 yd — missed his 10.8 projection by 4.3. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Sam LaPorta projects 13.5 PPR points in week 9 at MIA — the 3rd-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 9.7 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs MIA: 230.9 passing yards a game allowed (8.29/attempt) · 2.3 TDs/gm through the air · 0.6 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 3rd-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how MIA defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 0.5 rushing yards · 43.5 receiving yards · 34% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 89.9% offensive snaps · 6.3 targets/game, 17.3% target share · 13.1% air-yard share (aDOT 6.1) · 4.4 catches for 52.4 yards/game, 3 TD. 2025 baseline (9 games): 90.7% offensive snaps, 5.4 targets/game, 18.5% target share, 17.5% air-yard share (aDOT 5.7), 4.4 catches for 54.3 yards/game, 3 TD. (2026) TD luck: 3 scored vs 3.8 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 3.4 · median 9.6 · ceiling 20.4 — 49% chance of 10+, 24% of 15+, 11% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Sam LaPorta in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ MIA | Sun, Nov 8 | 8.4 | 10.9 | 13.5 | 3rd · soft |
| W10 | vs NE | Sun, Nov 15 | 7.4 | 9.8 | 12.2 | 24th |
| W11 | vs TB | Sun, Nov 22 | 8.2 | 10.6 | 13.1 | 12th |
| W12 | vs CHI | Thu, Nov 26 | 8.3 | 10.7 | 13.0 | 21st |
| W13 | @ ATL | Sun, Dec 6 | 7.6 | 9.9 | 12.3 | 16th |
| W14 | vs TEN | Sun, Dec 13 | 8.2 | 10.7 | 13.3 | 20th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | MIN | 1 car, 2 yd · 3/5 rec, 33 yd | 3.5 | 5.0 | 6.5 |
| W7 | GB | 1/2 rec, 18 yd | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.8 |
| W5 | ARI | 5/5 rec, 88 yd, 1 TD | 14.8 | 17.3 | 19.8 |
| W4 | CAR | 8/13 rec, 84 yd, 1 TD | 14.4 | 18.4 | 22.4 |
| W3 | NYJ | 3/4 rec, 44 yd | 4.4 | 5.9 | 7.4 |
| W2 | BUF | 6/7 rec, 52 yd, 1 TD | 11.2 | 14.2 | 17.2 |
| W1 | NO | 5/8 rec, 48 yd | 4.8 | 7.3 | 9.8 |