CIN — Week 2 at HOU, who allow the 28th-most points to RBs — recently James Cook put up 6.9 on them (W1).
8.0 PPR points against TB on 5 car, 20 yd · 3/3 rec, 30 yd — right on his 5.5 projection (+2.5). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Samaje Perine projects 5.2 PPR points in week 2 at HOU — the 28th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs HOU: 86 rushing yards a game allowed at 4.1 a carry · 2 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 28th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how HOU defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 28% offensive snaps · 3.5 carries/game (14% of team carries) · 19% of the backfield's touches · 2 targets/game, 6% target share · 13 rushing and 23 receiving yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (15 games): 35.1% offensive snaps, 5.6 carries/game (25% of team carries), 26.9% of the backfield's touches, 1.4 targets/game, 4.1% target share, 25.5 rushing and 5.8 receiving yards/game, 3 TD. (2025) TD luck: 3 scored vs 2.9 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 0.9 · median 3 · ceiling 10.8 — 13% chance of 10+, 3% of 15+, 1% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Samaje Perine in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ HOU | Sun, Sep 20 | 3.8 | 4.5 | 5.2 | 28th · tough |
| W3 | @ PIT | Sun, Sep 27 | 3.6 | 4.4 | 5.1 | 8th · soft |
| W4 | vs JAX | Sun, Oct 4 | 3.6 | 4.4 | 5.1 | 27th · tough |
| W5 | @ MIA | Sun, Oct 11 | 4.4 | 5.2 | 6.0 | 4th · soft |
| W7 | @ BAL | Sun, Oct 25 | 3.7 | 4.5 | 5.3 | 10th |
| W8 | vs TEN | Sun, Nov 1 | 4.6 | 5.4 | 6.2 | 12th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | TB | 5 car, 20 yd · 3/3 rec, 30 yd | 5.0 | 6.5 | 8.0 |