PHI · Questionable — Hamstring — Week 9 vs NYG, who allow the 19th-most points to RBs — recently Alvin Kamara put up 12.9 on them (W6), Woody Marks put up 8.1 on them (W7).
12.4 PPR points against WAS on 13 car, 30 yd, 1 TD · 1/1 rec, 24 yd — right on his 13.1 projection (-0.7). The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Saquon Barkley projects 12.8 PPR points in week 9 vs NYG — the 19th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 9.8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs NYG: 127.1 rushing yards a game allowed at 4.81 a carry · 0.9 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 19th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how NYG defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 61.5 rushing yards · 9.5 receiving yards · 37% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 6 games): 35.5% offensive snaps · 9.3 carries/game (35.7% of team carries) · 41.5% of the backfield's touches · 1.7 targets/game, 6% target share · 45.7 rushing and 6.8 receiving yards/game, 2 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 78.3% offensive snaps, 17.5 carries/game (61% of team carries), 80.3% of the backfield's touches, 3.1 targets/game, 12.1% target share, 71.3 rushing and 17.1 receiving yards/game, 9 TD. (2026) TD luck: 2 scored vs 2.7 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 4.8 · median 10.4 · ceiling 21.1 — 51% chance of 10+, 29% of 15+, 12% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Saquon Barkley in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | vs NYG | Sun, Nov 8 | 11.3 | 12.0 | 12.8 | 19th |
| W11 | vs PIT | Sun, Nov 22 | 10.1 | 11.1 | 12.0 | 27th · tough |
| W12 | @ DAL | Thu, Nov 26 | 11.7 | 12.7 | 13.7 | 3rd · soft |
| W13 | @ ARI | Sun, Dec 6 | 11.0 | 11.9 | 12.9 | 15th |
| W14 | vs IND | Sun, Dec 13 | 11.7 | 12.6 | 13.6 | 5th · soft |
| W15 | vs SEA | Sat, Dec 19 | 9.3 | 10.2 | 11.1 | 18th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | WAS | 13 car, 30 yd, 1 TD · 1/1 rec, 24 yd | 11.4 | 11.9 | 12.4 |
| W7 | DAL | 7 car, 62 yd, 1 TD · 2/2 rec, 9 yd | 13.1 | 14.1 | 15.1 |
| W4 | LAR | 2 car, 8 yd · 1/1 rec, 2 yd | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| W3 | CHI | 15 car, 82 yd · 1/2 rec, -2 yd | 8.0 | 8.5 | 9.0 |
| W2 | TEN | 4 car, 9 yd · 1/2 rec, 11 yd | 2.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 |
| W1 | WAS | 15 car, 83 yd · 1/2 rec, -3 yd | 8.0 | 8.5 | 9.0 |