CLE — Week 9 at NO, who allow the 17th-most points to QBs — recently J.J. McCarthy put up 17.3 on them (W6), Aaron Rodgers put up 13.1 on them (W7).
0.1 PPR points against PIT on 2/2, 2 pass yd. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Shedeur Sanders projects 13.7 PPR points in week 9 at NO — the 17th-ranked matchup for QBs, averaging 0.1 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at QB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs NO: 249.7 passing yards a game allowed (7.6/attempt) · 1.6 passing TDs/gm · 2.6 sacks and 0.6 INTs/gm · a soft spot for rushing QBs — 17.7 QB rush yds/gm — all of it adding up to the 17th-most fantasy points allowed to QBs. Receipts and the full profile: how NO defends QBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 184.5 passing yards · 15% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 3.5% offensive snaps · 1.5 attempts/game, 100% completions, 0.7 yards/attempt, 1 passing yards/game, 0 TD to 0 INT · 0 carries/game. 2025 baseline (8 games): 91.6% offensive snaps, 26.5 attempts/game, 56.6% completions, 6.6 yards/attempt, 175 passing yards/game, 7 TD to 10 INT, 2.6 carries/game. (2025) Passing-TD luck: 7 thrown vs 5.3 expected. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.1 · median 12.6 · ceiling 29.3 — 56% chance of 10+, 42% of 15+, 30% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Shedeur Sanders in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ NO | Sun, Nov 8 | 13.7 | 13.7 | 13.7 | 17th |
| W12 | vs LV | Sun, Nov 29 | 14.4 | 14.4 | 14.4 | 5th · soft |
| W13 | vs CIN | Sun, Dec 6 | 13.3 | 13.3 | 13.3 | 14th |
| W14 | vs ATL | Sun, Dec 13 | 11.7 | 11.7 | 11.7 | 21st |
| W15 | @ NYG | Sun, Dec 20 | 13.6 | 13.6 | 13.6 | 7th · soft |
| W16 | @ BAL | Sun, Dec 27 | 12.5 | 12.5 | 12.5 | 13th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | PIT | 2/2, 2 pass yd | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |