WAS — Week 2 at DAL, who allow the 26th-most points to WRs — recently Malik Nabers put up 6.9 on them (W1).
15.5 PPR points against PHI on 4/9 rec, 55 yd, 1 TD — beat his 11.4 projection by 4.1. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Stefon Diggs projects 12.7 PPR points in week 2 at DAL — the 26th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 15.5 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs DAL: 230 passing yards a game allowed (7.93/attempt) · 3 TDs/gm through the air · 0 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 26th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how DAL defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 63% offensive snaps · 7.5 targets/game, 24.3% target share · 23.1% air-yard share (aDOT 10.3) · 4.5 catches for 51 yards/game, 3 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 53.8% offensive snaps, 6 targets/game, 21.9% target share, 20.2% air-yard share (aDOT 8.5), 5 catches for 59.6 yards/game, 4 TD. (2025) TD luck: 4 scored vs 5.2 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 4.2 · median 9.1 · ceiling 17.8 — 45% chance of 10+, 20% of 15+, 5% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Stefon Diggs in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ DAL | Sun, Sep 20 | 7.9 | 10.3 | 12.7 | 26th · tough |
| W3 | vs SEA | Sun, Sep 27 | 5.5 | 7.5 | 9.5 | 30th · tough |
| W4 | vs IND | Sun, Oct 4 | 6.4 | 8.6 | 10.8 | 7th · soft |
| W5 | vs NYG | Sun, Oct 11 | 6.1 | 8.2 | 10.3 | 18th |
| W6 | @ SF | Mon, Oct 19 | 6.6 | 8.8 | 11.0 | 28th · tough |
| W8 | vs PHI | Sun, Nov 1 | 5.5 | 7.4 | 9.4 | 9th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | PHI | 4/9 rec, 55 yd, 1 TD | 11.5 | 13.5 | 15.5 |