WAS — Week 9 vs LAR, who allow the 24th-most points to WRs — recently Tre Tucker put up 16.3 on them (W7), Ladd McConkey put up 8.6 on them (W8).
12.8 PPR points against PHI on 3/6 rec, 38 yd, 1 TD — right on his 12.6 projection (+0.2). The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Stefon Diggs projects 12.1 PPR points in week 9 vs LAR — the 24th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 12.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs LAR: 199.4 passing yards a game allowed (6.21/attempt) · 1.3 TDs/gm through the air · 0.9 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 24th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how LAR defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 44.5 receiving yards · 28% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 6 games): 60.8% offensive snaps · 7.3 targets/game, 23.2% target share · 19.2% air-yard share (aDOT 8.5) · 4.5 catches for 42 yards/game, 5 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 53.8% offensive snaps, 6 targets/game, 21.9% target share, 20.2% air-yard share (aDOT 8.5), 5 catches for 59.6 yards/game, 4 TD. (2026) TD luck: 5 scored vs 2.3 expected — over expectation, regression risk. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 3.7 · median 8.6 · ceiling 18.3 — 44% chance of 10+, 20% of 15+, 7% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Stefon Diggs in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | vs LAR | Sun, Nov 8 | 8.1 | 10.1 | 12.1 | 24th |
| W10 | @ NYG | Thu, Nov 12 | 7.7 | 9.8 | 11.9 | 17th |
| W11 | vs CIN | Mon, Nov 23 | 8.2 | 10.4 | 12.5 | 12th |
| W12 | @ ARI | Sun, Nov 29 | 8.9 | 11.0 | 13.1 | 6th · soft |
| W13 | @ TEN | Sun, Dec 6 | 8.1 | 10.4 | 12.8 | 2nd · soft |
| W14 | vs HOU | Sun, Dec 13 | 7.9 | 10.0 | 12.1 | 4th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | PHI | 3/6 rec, 38 yd, 1 TD | 9.8 | 11.3 | 12.8 |
| W6 | SF | 6/7 rec, 44 yd, 1 TD | 10.4 | 13.4 | 16.4 |
| W4 | IND | 5/9 rec, 35 yd | 3.5 | 6.0 | 8.5 |
| W3 | SEA | 4/7 rec, 33 yd | 3.3 | 5.3 | 7.3 |
| W2 | DAL | 5/6 rec, 47 yd, 2 TD | 16.7 | 19.2 | 21.7 |
| W1 | PHI | 4/9 rec, 55 yd, 1 TD | 11.5 | 13.5 | 15.5 |