PHI — Week 2 at TEN, who allow the 12th-most points to RBs — recently Breece Hall put up 17.8 on them (W1).
0.3 PPR points against WAS on 1 car, 3 yd — missed his 5.0 projection by 4.7. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Tank Bigsby projects 3.5 PPR points in week 2 at TEN — the 12th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 0.3 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs TEN: 152 rushing yards a game allowed at 3.9 a carry · 2 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 12th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how TEN defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 11% offensive snaps · 7 carries/game (24.6% of team carries) · 31.4% of the backfield's touches · 1 targets/game, 2.9% target share · 18 rushing and 2.5 receiving yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (15 games): 12.6% offensive snaps, 4.2 carries/game (15% of team carries), 17.2% of the backfield's touches, 0.3 targets/game, 1.2% target share, 23.7 rushing and 2.1 receiving yards/game, 2 TD. (2025) TD luck: 2 scored vs 3.8 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 0.1 · median 1.9 · ceiling 8.9 — 8% chance of 10+, 1% of 15+, 1% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Tank Bigsby in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ TEN | Sun, Sep 20 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 12th |
| W3 | @ CHI | Mon, Sep 28 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 7th · soft |
| W4 | vs LAR | Sun, Oct 4 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 19th |
| W5 | @ JAX | Sun, Oct 11 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 27th · tough |
| W6 | vs CAR | Sun, Oct 18 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 1st · soft |
| W7 | vs DAL | Mon, Oct 26 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 9th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | WAS | 1 car, 3 yd | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |