CIN — Week 9 at ATL, who allow the 16th-most points to WRs — recently Luther Burden III put up 9.5 on them (W6), Jordan Watkins put up 5.6 on them (W7).
37.5 PPR points against TEN on 10/11 rec, 155 yd, 2 TD — beat his 16.0 projection by 21.5. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Tee Higgins projects 16.6 PPR points in week 9 at ATL — the 16th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 22.8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs ATL: 237.5 passing yards a game allowed (6.6/attempt) · 1.4 TDs/gm through the air · 0.4 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 16th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how ATL defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 79.5 receiving yards · 39% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 80% offensive snaps · 8.7 targets/game, 22.9% target share · 42.3% air-yard share (aDOT 13.6) · 6.1 catches for 103.7 yards/game, 4 TD. 2025 baseline (15 games): 80.9% offensive snaps, 6.5 targets/game, 18.3% target share, 33% air-yard share (aDOT 13.4), 3.9 catches for 56.4 yards/game, 11 TD. (2026) TD luck: 4 scored vs 2.2 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 5 · median 13.7 · ceiling 23.9 — 67% chance of 10+, 41% of 15+, 22% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Tee Higgins in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ ATL | Sun, Nov 8 | 11.5 | 14.1 | 16.6 | 16th |
| W10 | vs PIT | Sun, Nov 15 | 10.5 | 12.8 | 15.1 | 28th · tough |
| W11 | @ WAS | Mon, Nov 23 | 11.4 | 13.9 | 16.3 | 14th |
| W12 | vs NO | Sun, Nov 29 | 10.0 | 12.4 | 14.9 | 19th |
| W13 | @ CLE | Sun, Dec 6 | 9.7 | 12.0 | 14.3 | 20th |
| W14 | vs KC | Sun, Dec 13 | 9.3 | 11.7 | 14.0 | 31st · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | TEN | 10/11 rec, 155 yd, 2 TD | 27.5 | 32.5 | 37.5 |
| W7 | BAL | 6/7 rec, 148 yd, 1 TD | 20.8 | 23.8 | 26.8 |
| W5 | MIA | 2/4 rec, 22 yd | 2.2 | 3.2 | 4.2 |
| W4 | JAX | 11/16 rec, 157 yd | 15.7 | 21.2 | 26.7 |
| W3 | PIT | 6/7 rec, 90 yd, 1 TD | 15.0 | 18.0 | 21.0 |
| W2 | HOU | 5/10 rec, 95 yd | 9.5 | 12.0 | 14.5 |
| W1 | TB | 3/6 rec, 59 yd | 5.9 | 7.4 | 8.9 |